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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elroy who wrote (74658)	11/22/2007 12:15:53 PM
From: zekecisco	Respond to of 77400

Elroy, As if you don't know this, the market is in a downtrend, Cisco will follow the same pattern. Zeke

To: Elroy who wrote (74658)	11/23/2007 9:13:39 AM
From: RetiredNow	Respond to of 77400

Hi Elroy, no I would not. Let me tell you why by giving you a thought experiment. Which bet below do you prefer? Your Bet: EV = -$190.05 + $10.95 = 0 Or Mine: EV = $27.05 + $30.90 + $32*.05 = $30 With your bet, I could end up losing $190. With my bet, the worst I can do is $27. Even if I do much worse than that, the probability is extraordinarily high that I will still end up with more money than $0. So to sum up, first, your bet has a much lower downside than mine. Second, these two bets are not equivalent. So I'm not sure why you think that may be the case.