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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: neolib who wrote (17703)	11/24/2007 5:43:14 PM
From: Brumar89	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 36921

Actually, the IPCC didn't even say " the mean change is +0.4 deg C". You did. You picked 2.0 as the IPCC midpoint estimate and divided by 5 to get 0.4. The IPCC said 1.8-4.0. The midpoint of that range is actually 2.9 C. Thats what you s/h divided by 5 to get the 20 year estimate. I noticed this earlier, but figured why bring it up. As to the variance around the mean, I don't know what is. But who cares, for a bet you have to pick some point to judge whether warming is significant or not.