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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ruffian who wrote (249935)11/28/2007 3:56:15 PM
From: one_less  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Iran representing Shia Islam as well as a Nation of Persians has oil wealth and is building nuclear power wealth none of which will go unmarketed to Asia or where ever they choose to wield influence. They don't need to launch nuclear bombs, they can grow enriched uranium and sell it to entities who build nuclear bombs (Syria possibly) or use their wealth to encourage others to have nuke fights and sit quietly by growing their economic power and influence over satellite armies like Hesbollah, the badr brigade, and the Mahdi Army. Unlike the Arab countries trading oil for technology and services, they have been building their own industry and national infrastructure of services over the past thirty years so they are not as dependant on Western suppliers as countries like Saudi are.

Iran's ruling radical regime knows the culture and people of Iran will not condone further global isolation. With respect to this circumstance it can and is continuing to draw attention to its nuclear head fake while waging a real proxy war against the West in Southern Iraq. It supports the al-Qud special forces of the Revolutionary Guard who are in Iraq, militia trained by Hesbollah and fierce anti-American military militia movements like the Mahdi Army, last estimated at 60K+ and expected to grow exponentially over time. At the rate of current growth, it will soon eclipse the Iraqi military. I see nothing that would stop it from becoming an international Shi'ite military force as the founders intended. Tehran also uses its influence quite effectively to promote anti-western leadership into Iraqi political office.

They have realized that by cooperating with the US now to quell insurgencies in Southern Iraq while continuing to destabilize the National govt of Iraq, and by biding their time, they will achieve a long term goal of removing Western influence from Iraq and will be replacing that with their brand of extremism from Iran through Iraq-Syria-Lebanon.

China and it's allies on the Eastern Hemisphere promise to be major energy consumers in the near and prolonged future. The Eastern Hemisphere countries and from what I understand some South American Counties would be happy to trade with Iran.

Russia and it's satelite countries are willing and able to trade arms and deal strategically with Iran.