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Strategies & Market Trends : Ride the Tiger with CD -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marci58 who wrote (100098)11/30/2007 9:50:45 AM
From: Canuck Dave  Respond to of 312878
 
It's definitely the stock du jour. Almost joined you.

CD



To: marci58 who wrote (100098)11/30/2007 10:23:53 AM
From: WalterWhite  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 312878
 
KXL It is not a stretch to use 10MM ounces as an estimate for this resource. More drilling required but the results to date suggest this is very big...

75MM shares @ $4.50 = $337MM market cap

If they have 10MM ounces, and we price them at $200 in ground, then we have a market cap of $2B or 6 times todays valuation.

If you believe they have only 2MM ounces and it can be mined economically, then perhaps todays price is fair.

Globe



To: marci58 who wrote (100098)11/30/2007 1:17:47 PM
From: PaperPerson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 312878
 
KXL WORTH NOTHING:

* Best comparison for KXL is Aurelian. Aurelian achieved its run-up from roughly 3 to 40 in less than a year, despite an iffy political environment in Ecuador. Here we have a high grade discovery in a politically safe region.

on this chart, bear in mind that Aurelian did a four for one split in July.

finance.yahoo.com

* Today's KXL price move thus far has not even taken it up to its recent highs. (I know because I paid 4.36 for some a few weeks ago, brilliant trader that I am :) So I was averaging down when I picked up fresh shares this morning!

The current market, in which even gold producers are soft depsite gold hovering at $800, helped temper everybody's enthusiasm.

*KXL may be expensive by the standards of the penny stock guys, but as a likely acquisition target, $400 mm (~ 88 mm times 4.50) is still el cheapo.

* Majors are hungry for pipeline projects in safe locales.
Can anybody name a better project than one with several kilometers of veins showing on the surface and the first drill holes coming in red hot?

* I personally think that in the 800 dollar gold environment, the big players are going to be taking less of a wait-and see attitude about juniors than in the past.