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Politics : THE WHITE HOUSE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pompsander who wrote (13022)12/17/2007 6:18:30 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Respond to of 25737
 
Re: "...Rudy does not stand up as well as others to strong scrutiny."

The collapsing purple and yellow lines represent the national trend in 2007 for Giuliani and McCain respectively. The surging brown and green lines and Romney and Huckabee, respectively. Giuliani had buoyancy for a while by feeding off defecting McCain supporters, but it now appears his collapse is at hand. His rapidly evaporating national lead coincides with pulling back his resources in New Hampshire. Earlier, he pulled back resources in Iowa, and has now effectively ceded fourth place in that state to Huckabee, Romney and Thompson.



This isn't party of some grand plan by Giuliani to never focus on the early states, and to always prepare his campaign for a Florida plus Super Tuesday strategy. Giuliani has held more campaign events in New Hampshire, 66, than he has in any other state. He even has more campaign events in Iowa, 41, than he has in any other state except New Hampshire. As far as Florida goes, the most recent poll out of that state showed Giuliani in third place, behind both Huckabee and Romney. Giuliani was never targeting Florida as much as he was targeting Iowa and New Hampshire. He targeted the early states heavily, and assumed he would stay in front in Florida and nationally. Now, he is pulling out of the early states, and both his Florida and national leads have disappeared. There isn't anywhere left for him to turn, and things will only get worse when he is swamped in both Iowa and New Hampshire, finishing fourth or lower in both states.

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