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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: InvesTing who wrote (1878)	12/21/2007 7:35:10 PM
From: octavian	Respond to of 2121

InvesTing said: <<Then if I were you I would not be so anxious to call the Shilling guy crazy. He may be the Howard Ruff of today; but just looking at those two articles, the fact that he does have a regular column in forbes and is well known makes me think that perhaps you are being a little hard on him.>> --I don't doubt that the guy has credentials and is intelligent. But as you well know, some people are negative and pessimistic all the time. Others are positive and optimistic all the time. Shilling is one of those negative people. He will look at the same information as another smart person, and he will draw different conclusions based on his inate negativity. I've been watching him for years. I know what I'm talking about. <<I am amused by some of your fellow Brinker supporters ("shills" if you like the term to be compared to the overused "bashers) who claim all of these other guys are dumb and Brinker is brilliant--though Brinker never sticks his neck out, but rather always equivocates. I've heard you guys run down the Roger's guy.>> --Shilling and Rogers certainly aren't dumb. But they are both innately negative, pessimistic people. Therefore, since the market and economy have been strong most of the time since 1982, they have OFTEN been wrong. Most talking heads, economists, newsletter writers, mutual fund managers,etc. are very smart people. Those who don't have that inate negativity (such as brinker) are right more often than those who do. At least up to now!! <<I think you are as Math once said "a little too optimistic where Brinker is concerned.">> --That may be true, although I seriously doubt that I am as "optimistic" about him as you think I am. <<But certainly if one would have shorted those homebuilders and shorted those financials they would have one whole hell of a lot more money than following Brinker the last two years.>> --It's easy to play the coulda, woulda, shoulda game. If one has listened to Shilling in the 1990s he would have been out of the market and hunkered down in CDs long ago!