To: Peter Dierks who wrote (365028 ) 1/2/2008 10:58:56 AM From: combjelly Respond to of 1573927 "Evidence demonstrates a link between minimum wage increases and the recessions of 1990-91 and 1974-75." This linkage seems to be discounting an awful lot. For example, the recession of 1974 had an awful lot going on than just the minimum wage hike. Like filling up on even or odd days. We had pulled out of Bretton Wood and that meant commodity prices had skyrocketed. And, of course, there was the inflation. And who can forget Peru? It was once the largest fishery in the world. Anchovetta were caught in tremendous numbers, and usually made into fish paste or dried and made into fish powder. It was the cheapest protein supplement available. So it was heavily used in animal feed. But, in the wake of the El Nino of 1972, the fishery collapsed as they caught them all. That meant the demand for the number 2 source of protein, soy beans, went through the roof. Now soy beans were used for a lot of other things than protein supplements, And that triggered a cascade of various shortages. People were jittery, it was Johnny Carson(IIRC) who triggered a national shortage of toilet paper by making a joke. So, for that one, focusing on the hike in minimum wage seems to be ignoring an awful lot. Now, it might have been the last straw, but even that seems unlikely. There have been lots of minimum wage hikes that had no recession tied to it, including the other ones during the 1960s and the 1970s. dol.gov The fact that a few of the raises in the minimum wage happen to have coincided with some recessions shouldn't be a huge surprise given the number of them. When you cherry pick data for ideological reasons, those sort of things happen.