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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: c.hinton who wrote (252860)	1/2/2008 6:27:04 PM
From: Katelew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

The birth rate in China is rising and they have stopped foreign adoptions, but demographics will still be a serious issue. The 'one child rule' was only for one generation and was relaxed many years ago. But what has happened is that the rising urban middle classes don't WANT more than one child. The birth rate is currently 1.7 but the govt. fears it will drop if the desire for one child only continues to grow. I haven't read what the govt. plans to do about it. They have a social security system in place and the wealth to beef up any shortfalls as their population ages. From what I've read on China, I'm thinking that the amount of pollution and environmental degradation in the country may be a more difficult problem to deal with. This is also impacting the health of these coming retirees. Actually China has alot of problems coming its way. Inflation, food shortages, growing income disparity between rural and urban....and there's still around 150 state-owned companies that need to be weaned. Going forward, South America and Russia may provide better investment opportunities than China, esp. South America.