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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ahhaha who wrote (10449)	1/3/2008 1:24:23 PM
From: Lhn5	Respond to of 24758

Gross is acting as if he is short bonds...which I don't think is likely.

To: ahhaha who wrote (10449)	1/9/2008 2:22:33 AM
From: ahhaha	Respond to of 24758

Ya gotta wonder how many hacks, total amateurs, does it take to make a market? Gold stocks are rising on Lil Guy amateur speculation based on commodity gold. A few of them actually have some little ET flow, but most see the money pouring out. As for gold, the commodity, it has no excuses for rising, for, the stock market is acting as though world cash is contracting as is the case when interest rates are rising or have risen substantially. If that's the case(and it can't be determined in our world of secrecy), then gold can be only discounting the past, a role almost exclusively taken by the stock market, since rising interest rates or expectations for rising GPL is anathema for gold. So either the stock market is lying or gold is lying or they both are lying. The hard data only, only, supports the latter. Therefore, it is almost a lock that commodity gold will fall almost immediately $100 in one day. I say "almost" because whereas I'm confident in the truth of the above, all these markets and others make no sense whatsoever. They're under the complete control of random hysteria, driven by a mass of baseless myths, none of which are supported by any reality. I mean, it's simply otherworldly. Don't get me wrong. I see many, the majority, of MYSE stocks, have completed significant full phases from bottom to top to bottom. Some of them are breaking to new lows. Fewer are finding new highs. What I see in these weekly charts is the completion of the commodity phase. Thus, stuff like crude oil, solar, gold, various commodities, grunt industries, look like they've topped. At the same time there are noteworthy plays in energy, say, nat gas, that look good. This is true in some solar, some grunt, etc., too. What I'm trying to get at is that this stock market has no theme. It's a market of stocks. Thus, one can't look at averages and indexes to get a handle on how to make money. Get me right. The NYSE is loaded with US corporations and US corporations have a major problem: War on Wealth endlessly waged by the 'crats. It's a miracle that the NYSE big companies have been able to survive this long. It is imperative that the corporate tax rate be drastically lowered, or most of NYSE stocks will be breaking out on the downside to historic lows. What do the 'crats wants? Final demand stimulus. "We got to put money in people's pahkits". What idiots. All that does is stimulate stagflation. Stagflation! FED has got themselves in a situation where they can only promote stagflation. The players say, "if FED doesn't give us more money, we will sell, and keep on selling until they do", but FED can't accommodate them because it will lead to rising GPL, and thereby, rising interest rates whether FED raises them or not. IF FED resists, then we're back replaying the late '70s. That brings them back to gold, and us to gold, and to 1980, with a denouement where FED loses control and the free market in money burst forth again. Will anyone have learned anything from these two full cycles? No.