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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (27357)1/5/2008 10:48:08 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219680
 
I'm not so sure. There are tendencies to empire building and empire devolution, there are revolutions, civil wars, and changes of mind.

New Zealand was part of Australia, both were part of Great Britain, but the process was one to independence. Now there is a reverse process of reintegration with Australia, and perhaps integration with China is another option.

Taiwan might join up again with Japan [which still has a LOT more money than China] or the USA. Maybe there will be SARs designed for Israel, Taiwan etc as affiliated members of the USA.

The old Empire Writ Large ways of Rome, Genghis, Great Britain etc have perhaps had their day and smaller states is the way to go.

Taiwanese will be the main determinants of what happens and they will tend to follow their wallets. With economic ties to China, independence doesn't mean a lot. But Taiwanese favour their independence and are armed quite well to support the idea.

I think they would regret being taken over by the totalitarian state of China, however it is done.

The USA was united and it took just a little civil war to achieve. The slaves of the south were freed. Maybe the slaves of China will be freed. Life is ever unpredictable. A civil war would be interesting and perhaps fun for the participants, though normally people regret such things in retrospect. It might not stay a civil war as others might join in.

Brazil has already joined in, on China's side.

Mqurice