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To: Bucky Katt who wrote (37244)1/26/2008 4:00:19 PM
From: joseffy  Respond to of 48461
 
Japan to create £25bn sovereign fund as fears mount on global sub-prime loss
Times of London ^ | 01/26/08 | Leo Lewis

business.timesonline.co.uk

Japan is in advanced discussions to create its first sovereign wealth fund in a move aimed at mobilising one of the world’s biggest pools of foreign exchange reserves.

The plans, described to The Times by the Minister for Financial Services and Administrative Reform, would give Japan membership of what is fast becoming a formidably powerful club of investors.

Yoshimi Watanabe revealed that a high-level team of advisers was designing the operations of the fund, and that representatives had visited existing sovereign wealth funds in the region.

China and South Korea have both launched state-backed investment funds, and the Japanese Government is understood to have talked extensively with senior managers of GIC, Singapore’s notoriously opaque fund.

The Japanese fund, when it is established, is most likely to make initial investments in its domestic stock market. It may even be used to shore up a Tokyo stock market that is, on paper, among the most heavily discounted in the world.

Mr Watanabe hinted strongly that the fund could also act as a major source of capital in markets ravaged by the sub-prime crisis. “For countries that cannot turn to their own people for capital for political reasons, they have to turn to foreign capital that does not complain as loudly,” he said.

Sources close to the sovereign wealth fund steering committee have said that the size of the fund is not decided but that if only 5 per cent of Japan’s foreign exchange reserves were invested more actively, the resulting fund would control about $50 billion (£25.2 billion). Managers for the fund are expected to be drawn from the Japan Development Bank and may also be sourced from the now disbanded Industrial Revitalisation Corporation of Japan — the respected state-backed turnaround vehicle.

Sovereign wealth funds have played an increasingly significant role in global investment in recent months, with several oil-rich Middle Eastern and Asian funds taking stakes in some of America’s sub-prime-blighted banking giants, including UBS, Citigroup, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley.

Banks and brokerage firms might have to raise as much as $143 billion more to cover potential losses on sub- prime-related bonds if insurers that underwrite the securities are aggressively downgraded by ratings agencies, according to a new report by Barclays Capital. It says the global banking industry, which has lost about $136 billion on falls in their mortgage bond portfolios, face further losses if the credit worthiness of so-called monoline insurers such as MBIA and Ambac declines dramatically.

The insurers guarantee the interest and principal payments on the bonds in the event of a default. As the rate of default on the mortgages backing the bonds has risen, the insurers face such large claims that they may be unable to meet them.

The small group of monolines that dominate the industry have traditionally held an AAA credit rating, but all risk downgrades as their ability to meet claims is increasingly called into question. Ambac last week became the first AAA monoline to lose the top rating, while several others are being reviewed by the ratings agencies.

The loss of an AAA rating automatically pushes down the value of the bonds that an insurer underwrites as the owners fear they may not get paid.

If the insurer does not meet the claim, the bonds would lose even more value and could potentially land the banking industry with $143 billion more in losses, Barclays Capital said.



To: Bucky Katt who wrote (37244)1/26/2008 4:00:38 PM
From: joseffy  Respond to of 48461
 
They came, they saw, they invested

— Government of Singapore Investment Corp and unnamed Middle East fund invested SwFr13 billion in UBS

— Government of Singapore Investment Corp and Kuwait Investment Authority invested $12.5 billion in Citigroup

— Abu Dhabi Investment Authority invested $7.5 billion in Citigroup

— Kuwait Investment Authority and Korean Investment Fund invested $6.6 billion in Merrill Lynch

— Temasek Holdings (Singapore) invested $6.2 billion in Merrill Lynch

— China Investment Corp invested $5 billion in Morgan Stanley

— Temasek Holdings invested $4.6 billion in Standard Chartered

— Istithmar (Dubai) invested $1 billion in Standard Chartered

— China Investment Corp invested $3 billion in Blackstone

— China Development Bank invested $3 billion in Barclays

— Temasek Holdings invested $2 billion in Barclays

— Mubadala (Abu Dhabi) invested $1.35 billion in the Carlyle Group

— Dubai International Capital took a “substantial stake” in HSBC



To: Bucky Katt who wrote (37244)1/26/2008 5:40:19 PM
From: joseffy  Respond to of 48461
 
Lobbyists Smoothed the Way For a Spate of Foreign Deals

By BOB DAVIS and DENNIS K. BERMAN January 25, 2008; Page A1

online.wsj.com

WASHINGTON -- Two years ago, the U.S. Congress pressured the Arab emirate of Dubai to back out of a deal to manage U.S. ports. Today, governments in the Persian Gulf, China and Singapore have snapped up $37 billion of stakes in Wall Street, the bedrock of the U.S. financial system. Lawmakers and the White House are welcoming the cash, and there is hardly a peep from the public.

This is no accident. The warm reception reflects millions of dollars in shrewd lobbying by both overseas governments and their Wall Street targets -- aided by Washington veterans from both parties, including big-time Republican fund-raiser and lobbyist Wayne Berman. Also easing the way: The investments have been carefully designed to avoid triggering close U.S. government oversight.

Clearly, U.S. financial firms that have been deeply weakened by the credit crisis, including Citigroup Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co., need the cash. Meanwhile, investment pools funded by foreign governments, called sovereign-wealth funds, have trillions to invest. Some American politicians, though suspicious of foreign governments, deem it suicidal to oppose aid to battered financial companies.

"What would the average American say if Citigroup is faced with the choice of 10,000 layoffs or more foreign investments?" asks New York Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer, who played a central role in killing the Dubai port deal but has applauded recent foreign investment.

But by making investment by foreign governments seem routine, Washington may be ushering in a fundamental change to the U.S. economy without assessing the longer-term implications. Some economists warn that the stakes could provide autocratic governments an important say in how U.S. companies do business, or give them access to sensitive information or technology. Those familiar with the deals' governmental review processes say military officials worry that a foreign government, especially China, may be able to coax an executive into turning over secrets.

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers counsels caution. "There should be a very strong presumption in favor of allowing willing buyers to take noncontrolling stakes in companies," Mr. Summers says. "However, it's imaginable that government-related entities [investing in the U.S.] will be motivated to strengthen their national economies, make political points, reward or punish competitors or suppliers, or extract know-how."

WSJ's Dennis Berman discusses the potential impact and reach of foreign government investment funds on the U.S. economy.
Sovereign-wealth funds, meanwhile, continue to seek opportunities. Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Qatar's prime minister said the oil-rich sheikdom's investment arm wants to invest $15 billion in European and U.S. banks. "We're looking at buying stakes in 10 or 12 blue-chip banks," Sheikh Hamad bin Jassem Al Thani told Zawya Dow Jones. "But we will start small."

In nearly every case, American financial companies are escaping detailed U.S. government review by limiting the size of stakes they sell to government investment funds. The multiagency Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S., led by the U.S. Treasury, can recommend that the president block foreign acquisitions on national-security grounds. Congress also can block deals by pressuring companies or by passing legislation.

Under CFIUS rules, a passive stake -- one in which investors don't seek to influence a company's behavior -- is presumed not to pose national-security problems. Neither is a small voting stake, usually of less than 10%. During the recent string of deals, financial companies whose investments have met those requirements have notified CFIUS and haven't had to go through 30-day initial reviews.

A backlash could still develop if the funds throw their weight around in U.S. companies. The government reserves the right to examine an investment even after the deal closes.
When the U.S. economy was riding high in 2004, sovereign money was sometimes shunned. Dubai's Istithmar investment fund was viewed warily in New York when it went hunting for real estate. In part, that is because sellers worried that Istithmar's government ownership would lend the company sovereign immunity, insulating it from lawsuits if it reneged on a contract. (As a commercial arm of the government, it wouldn't have been immune.)

Now Wall Street is thirsting for new capital, preferably in huge amounts and deliverable at a moment's notice. Sovereign-wealth funds look like an oasis. These government-funded pools have about $2.8 trillion in assets, which Morgan Stanley estimates could grow to $12 trillion by 2015 as Middle Eastern funds bulk up on oil receipts and Asian ones expand from trade surpluses.

"You can't have a $9 trillion debt and huge trade deficit and not expect at some point you'll have to square accounts," says David Rubenstein, CEO of Washington-based private-equity firm Carlyle Group. Foreign savings have to go somewhere, he says: "Better that it come to the U.S. than anywhere else." (An Abu Dhabi fund, Mubadala Development Corp., has a 7.5% stake in Carlyle.)

As the U.S. financial crisis deepened over the summer, sovereign-wealth funds became a favorite of capital-short Wall Street firms. That is because state funds presumably have an incentive to be passive investors, to avoid raising objections to their stakes. Domestic investors, on the other hand, might demand a bigger say or board seats for a similar-size stake. As it sought its most recent cash infusion of $6.6 billion, Merrill Lynch turned away possible investments from U.S. hedge funds in favor of investments from government funds from South Korea and Kuwait, say people involved with negotiations.

A senior official at China Investment Corp., which has about $200 billion in assets including a $3 billion stake in private-equity firm Blackstone Group LP, says it doesn't want to play an active role in corporate governance. "We don't even want to take the kind of stand of someone like Calpers," which is the California state pension fund, the official said. "We don't have enough people, and we can't send directors out to watch companies."

Behind Washington's acceptance of large-scale foreign investments lies a well-funded lobbying campaign, spurred when Congress objected to government-owned Dubai Ports World's investment in a U.S. port operator. The United Arab Emirates -- a federation of seven ministates including Dubai and Abu Dhabi -- was seared by the accusation that an Arab government-owned company couldn't be trusted to protect U.S. ports against terrorists. Last year, the U.A.E. launched a three-year, $15 million Washington lobbying campaign, the U.S.-Emirates Alliance, to burnish its reputation.

The alliance, headed by former Hillary Clinton campaign aide Richard Mintz, recruited about two dozen businesses to form a support group. It contributed $140,000 to a prominent Washington think tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, to start a "Gulf Roundtable" discussion series. It also forged alliances with prominent Jewish groups by persuading the U.A.E. to clear the way for U.S. travelers whose passports had Israeli visas; such travelers sometimes had been turned away by U.A.E. customs agents, Jewish groups said.

Such openness has it limits, though. In June 2007, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, the world's largest sovereign-wealth fund, with an estimated $875 billion in assets, hired public-relations firm Burson-Marsteller for $800,000 for an initial eight-month contract to improve communications. But it still has no press department or press kits. It forbids its Washington representative, James Lake, to talk to the media.
Even as the Dubai port controversy spurred sovereign investors to engage in a charm offensive, it led lawmakers to re-examine laws governing the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S. Some proposed to vastly expand the definition of investments that could pose a threat to national security. Both foreign firms and U.S. banks lobbied fiercely in response, pressing to keep the reviews narrow enough to encourage foreign investment.

Their lobbying largely succeeded. The Financial Services Forum, which represents the 20 largest U.S. financial firms, focused on Sen. Schumer, a frequent Wall Street ally. In one April 2006 session, a dozen CEOs, including then-Goldman Sachs CEO Henry Paulson, who is now U.S. Treasury Secretary, told the senator about the importance of open investment. A participant says Sen. Schumer described the Dubai port controversy as an "anomaly." Since then, executives from top financial firms have consulted with Sen. Schumer when foreign firms seek to buy stakes and regularly win his endorsement.

Sen. Schumer says the executives assure him that foreign investors will have "not just virtually no control, but virtually no influence."


Compared with the ports industry, the financial sector speaks with an outsize megaphone in Congress. In the 2006 election cycle, commercial banks and securities firms, and their employees, contributed $96.3 million to congressional campaigns -- 32 times as much as the sea-transport industry, which includes ports, according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics. Banks and securities firms are also the largest industry contributors to members of the Senate Banking Committee and House Financial Services Committee, which can review investments in Wall Street firms. Sen. Schumer is a member of the Senate Banking Committee.

Wall Street and the U.A.E. thought they had turned the corner by spring 2007 when another Dubai-owned company, Dubai Aerospace Enterprise Ltd., bought two firms that owned small U.S. airports and maintenance facilities that serviced some navy transport-plane engines. The Dubai firm pledged to submit to government security reviews and submit its employees for security screening. It also thoroughly briefed lawmakers on the deal. It ran into no obstacles on Capital Hill.

"I call the strategy, 'wearing your underwear on the outside,'" says one of Dubai Aerospace's Washington lobbyists, Joel Johnson, a former Clinton White House communications adviser. "We have to show everybody everything -- no secrets, no surprises."

The deal that provided a blueprint for the current wave of foreign investments was China's $3 billion stake in Blackstone Group's initial public offering, announced last May. In helping to gain congressional approval for the deal, lobbyist Mr. Berman emerged as a key strategist.

Mr. Berman, a Commerce Department official in the administration of George H.W. Bush, has been one of the Republican Party's most adept fund-raisers, bringing in more than $100,000 for President George W. Bush in 2000 and more than $300,000 in 2004. Mr. Berman cultivates a range of contacts with salon-style dinners at his home with his wife, Lea, who was Laura Bush's social secretary. He is now a fund-raiser for Sen. John McCain's presidential bid.

Blackstone asked Mr. Berman, a longtime lobbyist for companies in the financial industry, to help smooth the way in Congress for China to buy a piece of the private-equity firm. A minority stake made sense to both sides: Blackstone wanted to boost its presence in China. China, which was in the process of setting up China Investment Corp., wanted to show it could become a trusted investor in top U.S. firms.

Mr. Berman pointed out that offering a board seat, or a stake of more than 10%, would invite government review. Ultimately, the two sides agreed on a stake of as much as 9.9% and passive investment. "Our intention was not to arouse too much sensation in any way," says the senior China Investment Corp. executive.

Mr. Berman says the goal wasn't to get around the rules but to work within them. "Policy considerations didn't drive the specifics of the deal," says Mr. Berman. "Policy considerations informed the deal."
Blackstone executives briefed several dozen lawmakers, with the firm's chief executive, Stephen Schwarzman, sitting in on some sessions. Stiff opposition came from Sen. James Webb, a first-term Virginia Democrat. Sen. Webb wrote a novel published in 1991, "Something to Die For," in which Japan uses its financial muscle to gain influence in Washington. The senator worries Beijing could do the same.

Mr. Webb wanted the China investment deal delayed so regulators could examine whether Blackstone's stake in a semiconductor company posed national-security problems. One of Mr. Berman's partners pointed out that the firm produced off-the-shelf chips. Sen. Webb withdrew his objections to the deal, though he remains skeptical of sovereign investors.
Mr. Berman's firm, Ogilvy Government Relations, a unit of WPP Group PLC, billed Blackstone $3.9 million in 2007 for the work on the investment, tax and other issues.

Other deals followed, similarly structured to avoid raising congressional uproar. Two other Berman clients, Carlyle Group and Citigroup, negotiated investments with sovereign-wealth funds -- both marked by passive stakes and no board seats -- and faced no resistance. Mr. Berman says he didn't lead strategizing in either deal.

Citigroup and Merrill Lynch, in their most recent round of capital-raising, included U.S. investors, including New Jersey's Division of Investment, giving politicians even more reason to support the deals. "The principality of New Jersey" is now buying stakes in Citigroup and Merrill Lynch, jokes Democratic Rep. Barney Frank of Massachusetts, who heads the House Financial Services Committee.

Other sovereign-wealth funds have turned to Washington experts for advice. Former New York Fed Chairman William McDonough, a vice chairman of Merrill Lynch, is also a member of the international board of advisers of Temasek Holdings Pte. Ltd. of Singapore. Temasek has stakes in Merrill Lynch as well as British banks Barclays PLC and Standard Chartered PLC. Former Senate Banking Committee Chairman Phil Gramm, now an adviser to Sen. McCain, is vice chairman of investment banking at UBS AG of Switzerland, which sold a stake to another Singapore government investment fund. He says he talks regularly with sovereign-wealth funds who seek his advice on dealing with Washington.

U.S. financial firms say the welcoming attitude of the U.S. Treasury has also helped. Essentially, the Treasury and other industrialized nations have subcontracted some of the most difficult questions concerning sovereign-wealth funds to the International Monetary Fund. In particular, the IMF is trying to persuade the funds to adopt voluntary codes to act for commercial, rather than political, reasons.

Presidential candidates have widely ignored sovereign-wealth funds' investments. Democrat Hillary Clinton, alone among top contenders for the White House, has addressed their downsides. "Globalization was supposed to mean declining state ownership," she said in an interview. "But these sovereign-wealth funds point in the opposite direction." She wants to go beyond the IMF efforts and look into a "regulatory framework" for the investments.

Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd said on Wednesday that his committee would be "examining" sovereign-wealth-fund investments. So far, the only congressional hearing on the funds was held by Indiana Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh. "No one wants to rock the boat," Sen. Bayh says, because flagship financial institutions need the cash.

Still, he is skeptical of the sovereign money. "If you had unfettered U.S. government investments in markets, you'd have people throwing around words like socialism," says Sen. Bayh. "With foreign government investments, the silence is deafening on all sides."

--Jason Dean in Beijing and Rick Carew in Hong Kong contributed to this article.



To: Bucky Katt who wrote (37244)1/27/2008 11:05:35 AM
From: joseffy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 48461
 
Bank: French Trader's Hacking Triggered Econ Crash
AP) ^ | Jan 27, 2008 6:59 am US/Pacific

cbs2.com

PARIS (AP) ? A young trader blamed for losses that cost France's Societe Generale more than $7 billion hacked computers and used "several techniques of fraud," the bank said Sunday, as judicial officials said the man would remain in custody a further 24 hours.

In a five-page document, Societe Generale also sought to counter the notion that it had disrupted markets by unwinding the massive positions built up by the 31-year-old trader. The bank took three days last week to sell off the contracts on the Eurostoxx, DAX and FTSE indices, but said that it had done so in a "controlled" way.

French judicial officials, speaking on condition of anonymity because the investigation is continuing, said Jerome Kerviel can be held until Monday afternoon. Kerviel was taken into custody on Saturday.

Under French law, after 48 hours in custody, he must either be released or handed preliminary charges.

Societe Generale said Kerviel misappropriated other people's computer access codes, falsified documents and employed other methods to cover his tracks - helped by his previous experience working in offices that monitor traders.

"He had a very good understanding of all of Societe Generale's processing and control procedures," the statement said.

The bank said Kerviel had built up a position worth some $73.5 billion - which was eventually closed or hedged by last Wednesday with a loss of $7.21 billion.

"The position was unwound over three days in a controlled fashion," it said.

Jean-Michel Aldebert, of the Paris prosecutors' office, told reporters Saturday that Kerviel gave himself up of his own free will. The trader had not been seen in public since the bank announced his unauthorized trades in a statement on Thursday.

His motives remained a mystery, and the bank said it appeared that he did not gain personally from the trades. Acquaintances described Kerviel as reserved and considerate, a young man who once taught children judo and held the door for elderly neighbors.

Kerviel had been investing the bank's money by hedging on European equity market indices, meaning he bet on how the markets would perform at a future date.

Germany's Der Spiegel newsmagazine cited unnamed traders as saying Kerviel made a huge gamble on Germany's DAX stock exchange, buying some 140,000 DAX futures. When the exchange dropped, Kerviel racked up losses that amounted by mid-January to around $3 billion, said the report, posted on Der Spiegel's web site.

Societe Generale said it discovered the fraud last weekend and unwound the trader's losing bets starting Monday, when world markets tumbled.

Some experts have suggested Societe Generale may have exacerbated the fall and indirectly led to the U.S. Federal Reserve's subsequent decision to cut rates.

In an interview published Saturday, Societe Generale's chief executive, Daniel Bouton, dismissed as "absurd" the notion that the bank's actions helped fuel the turmoil on world markets.

Bouton said Kerviel had been betting throughout 2007 that markets would fall - a winning position. But the trader had overstepped his authority and was wagering much more money than he should have, Bouton said.

So at the beginning of January, Bouton said, the trader voluntarily created losing positions, to neutralize his earlier gains and cover his tracks.

But this month's quickly dropping markets turned "this sad affair ... into a Greek tragedy: His virtual losing position became huge," Bouton was quoted by Le Figaro as saying.

Despite the bank's losses, which Bouton called "enormous and abnormal," he insisted Societe Generale's viability was not at risk.

Experts and others, including France's prime minister, have questioned whether a single futures trader could have managed such large sums. Some have suggested Societe Generale might have used Kerviel as a scapegoat for other losses, like those related to the subprime crisis.

The bank says the scale of the damage was so great only because of the bad timing of the discovery - right before the worst day in world markets since Sept. 11, 2001. It also fired Kerviel's supervisors.