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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)1/27/2008 2:18:30 PM
From: oldirtybastard  Respond to of 217652
 
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To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)1/27/2008 2:18:30 PM
From: oldirtybastard  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217652
 
Another way to look at it is if you don't know who's the sucker at the table, you're the sucker. TJ reminds us not to be the sucker. There's a whole contingency on these boards and on this planet that want to reward the suckers and punish those who are not to lazy to have picked up a book, set aside their emotions, and figured out not to be the suckers.

If the world, and more importantly the world of finance works like a food chain and has prey and predators, like every other part of nature, there is nothing wrong with seeing yourself as and being a predator, it's much better than being the prey. The system is here to stay and will never and has never changed, why not try to game the system? It's not immoral and unethical, it just is what it is...but Denial ain't just a river in Egypt. -g-



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)1/27/2008 10:50:35 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217652
 
seeker, comrade in arms since 1999, i now see myself in a better light - your light :0)

i am the first one to admit that i buy gold not because i know, but that i do not know, cannot know, and certainly cannot assume to know, and certainly not wise to be sure.

cb ilaine and her lot believe they know, know best, always sure, and know best what is best for all.

looting them is a sport, a noble and socially relevant sport, a positive contribution, a win win win, for family, friends and self, and in fact should be made an obligation, a duty, a must do, do much, and do right.

the good thing is that we will never run out of lootees, no matter how many mines we bury, ambushes we set, broad frontal attacks we mount, and rear guard fake out actions we execute - the lootees just keep on coming, asking to be mauled down

the looting is self sustaining, when done correctly, and with much luck enhancement.

we are blessed, and rightly so.



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)2/12/2008 4:14:58 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217652
 
Brazil's Bovespa Gains, Led by Itausa, Banks on Goldman Rating

How big is your smile there?

By Alexander Ragir and William Freebairn

Feb. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil's Bovespa gained the most in a week, led by banks, after Goldman Sachs Group said financial shares are ``attractive'' following this year's price declines and will benefit from ``strong'' loan growth.

Gerdau SA, Brazil's largest steelmaker, rose the most since January 2004 and its parent company, Metalurgica Gerdau SA, rose the most this decade. Gerdau may report on Feb. 13 that net sales rose 27 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, boosted by its purchase of Midlothian, Texas-based Chaparral Steel, Rodrigo Ferraz, analyst at Banco Brascan SA, said in a note to clients.

Banco Bradesco SA and Itausa Investimentos Itau SA led the biggest gain in the MSCI Brazil Financial Index in more than two weeks. The index has fallen 26 percent since its Oct. 31 high as defaults from sub-prime mortgages hurt financial company profits in U.S. and Europe. Finance Minister Guido Mantega said today that Brazil is unaffected by turmoil in international markets and expects the country to obtain an investment grade rating this year.

``They unjustly suffered and now they're readjusting a bit,'' Fabio Cardoso, whose Maxima Participacoes FI em Acoes fund was the best performer among Brazil-based equity and hedge funds last year, said of the country's banks. ``They've been dropping without a reason.''

The Bovespa index of most-traded shares on the Sao Paulo exchange gained 1,567.24, or 2.7 percent, to 60,643.22. Mexico's Bolsa index rose 2.1 percent, the biggest gain in a week, to 28,789.55.

Brazil's current inflation level is ``comfortable'' and remains ``totally'' in line to meet the central bank's target, Mantega told reporters in Brasilia.

Brazilian Banks

The MSCI Brazil/Financials Index rose for its first time in five days, gaining 3.2 percent to 702.51.

``The structural growth story for Brazilian banks continues,'' Sao Paulo-based analysts Jason B. Mollin and Carlos Macedo wrote in a Goldman report to investors dated today. ``The financial sector deepens as Brazil's investment grade status appears on the horizon.''

Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA, the largest non-state bank, gained the most in more than two weeks, rising 2.4 percent to 37.32. Itausa gained 35 centavos, or 3.8 percent, to 9.60 reais. Banco Nossa Caixa SA, the bank owned by the government of Sao Paulo state, gained 4.9 percent to 23.90 reais. Bradesco, Brazil's second-largest non-state bank, advanced 1.79 reais, or 4.1 percent, to 46 reais.

Bradesco and Itausa Investimentos Itau SA, the controlling holding company of Itau, were rated ``buy'' at Goldman.

Price Target

Gerdau added 3.68 reais, or 8.1 percent, to 48.90 reais. Gerdau Metalurgica gained 5.99 reais, or 10 percent, to 65 reais. Juliana Chu of Banco Espirito Santo SA raised her price target for Gerdau and Gerdau Metalurgica stock. She expects Gerdau preferred shares to rise to 69.70 reais a share by year end and Gerdau Metalurgica preferred shares to rise to 106 reais.

Mexico's Bolsa index rose to the highest in more than a week as investors speculated Wal-Mart de Mexico SAB, the country's largest retailer, will announce a positive forecast for growth in its operations.

Walmex surged 3.6 percent to 38.77 pesos as investors anticipated the company would announce growth plans tomorrow that may boost profits this year, said analyst Alejandro Fuentes Perez of BBVA Bancomer SA in Mexico City.

Walmex opened bank branches inside some stores last year, hoping to take advantage of increasing consumer credit in Mexico.

Some homebuilders rose as Mexican government housing officials said the sector's growth prospects this year are good. Mexico will build 800,000 homes this year as part of an effort to meet President Felipe Calderon's goal of constructing 6 million new houses by 2012, Carlos Gutierrez Ruiz, head of Mexico's Housing Commission, said in a Bloomberg Television interview in New York, where he attended a meeting with analysts Feb. 8.

Consorcio Ara SAB, Mexico's No. 4 homebuilder, gained the most in almost 11 months, rising 6.8 percent to 12.81 pesos.

Elsewhere in Latin America, the main indexes in Argentina, Colombia, Peru and Chile rose, while Venezuela's main stock index fell. The MSCI EM Latin America index gained 2.3 percent to 4,178.12.



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)3/5/2008 9:40:38 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217652
 
Brazilian Stocks: High Growth Potential Not Priced In

With high growth still anticipated in Brazil, as well as its expected “investment-grade” status, it comes as kind of a head-scratcher that the stock market in Brazil has taken it on the chin thus far in 2008. On hand to give his perspective is Zacks senior Latin American markets analyst Claudio Freitas, CFA.

seekingalpha.com

Has much of the good news in Brazilian stocks has already been priced in?

Until recently, the market had incorporated the good news over Brazil, but considering the sell-off in Brazilian stocks since the beginning of this year, the positive scenario is not incorporated at all. The possibility of a recession in the U.S. should affect Brazil as well as other markets all around the world.

Nevertheless, I do believe Brazil is in a better situation than most emerging countries: its current account is still positive, trade balance should be positive (around US$30 billion) for 2008 and total reserves of the country is around US$180 billion – much more than the public external debt. All considered, I believe Brazil will outperform emerging markets during this turbulence, and any major weakness should be considered a buying opportunity.

Where do you foresee price appreciation among industries – or specific stocks – in the Brazilian market?

Sure, after the sell-off there are many stocks highly undervalued. Of course, commodity stocks are more risky due to the possibility of a recession in the U.S. However, the telecommunication industry remains quite interesting, particularly Telemar (TNE), Brasil Telecom (BRP) and Vivo (VIV). Electric utilities are also undervalued: Cemig (CIG) and Copel are good examples of interesting undervalued stocks.

Has the Brazilian market become less risky?

The Brazilian market has been trading recently with P/E close to 13x (past 12 months) or 11.5x (forward). China is trading with valuations of 40x and India is trading at 22x (both considering the past 12 months. It is true that Brazil do not have the same potential for growth that both China and India have, nevertheless 40x sounds overvalued whatever the circumstances, and 12x is not really much for a country that is expected to grow between 4% and 5% in the following years.

However, the Brazilian market is highly exposed to commodities and basic products. In this sense, we have to admit that the risk has increased since the beginning of the year when everyone became more concerned over the possibility of a recession in the U.S.

Which are your favorite Brazilian plays among your Buy-rated coverage?

As I mentioned above Telemar and Brasil Telecom are great options in Brazil, mainly considering that they will merge in the near future, creating a major telecom player comparable to Telmex (TMX). In Mexico it is also a good moment to take a look at some airport operators like Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) and Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte (OMAB).

Finally, CVRD (RIO) is also very attractive. According to Brazilian newspapers, RIO is negotiating with Baosteel (the most important Chinese steel producer) a price hike for iron ore between 30% and 50% for 2008. That’s a great hike.

Are there any sections of the Latin American markets you would advise investors to stay away from at this time?

Steel companies should be affected by the difficult U.S. economic environment; I had just downgraded Gerdau (GGB) from Hold to Sell today. The construction business in the U.S. doesn’t sound good either, thus I would avoid Cemex (CX) since the Mexican cement company is highly exposed to the U.S. market.

Claudio Freitas, CFA is a senior analyst covering markets in Latin America for Zacks Equity Research



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)3/6/2008 5:42:16 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217652
 
Brazil Cosan to try share swap, delisting again. new attempt to overhaul its structure and gain scale globally.
Wed Mar 5, 2008 9:18pm EST

SAO PAULO, March 5 (Reuters) - Brazil's biggest sugar and ethanol group, Cosan, on Wednesday offered shareholders in its locally-listed unit to swap their shares for stocks in a foreign-registered subsidiary in a new attempt to overhaul its structure and gain scale globally.

Each share in Cosan SA (CSAN3.SA: Quote, Profile, Research) will be swapped for one Brazilian Depositary Receipt or stock in the Bermuda-registered Cosan Ltd (CZLT11.SA: Quote, Profile, Research)(CZZ.N: Quote, Profile, Research), set up last year.

If the plan is successful, Cosan SA will be delisted from the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange's New Market, which requires an increased level of transparency from its participants.

Under the planned shareholding change that raised some eyebrows among Brazilian investors when first announced last year, Cosan Chief Executive Rubens Ometto Silveira Mello will shift his controlling stake in the Brazilian firm to the Bermuda-registered company.

Cosan said the restructuring will give it more "opportunities of growing in various markets and regions in the sugar and ethanol sector using a global platform."

At least two-thirds of shareholders have to subscribe to the share swap, or it risks failing as it did last July, when too few stockholders adhered to the plan.

Cosan Ltd's initial public offering in mid-2007 raised only about half the funds the company had been hoping for. Cosan raised the money in the IPO to finance the construction of new mills to keep up with soaring demand for biofuels like ethanol made from sugar cane.

Before the swap announcement, Cosan SA stocks had closed 4.5 percent higher at 31.80 reais, while Cosan Ltd rose 2.3 percent to 26.09 reais. In New York, Cosan Ltd rose 2.58 percent to $15.53.

($1=1.67 reais) (Reporting by Aluisio Alves and Andrei Khalip; editing by Carol Bishopric)



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (28503)5/2/2008 10:57:57 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217652
 
parable of the ant and the cicada. There was a singing inset who lived off the work of the ant.

The ant worked and never saw the results of its sweat. The cicada, sent one of their kind called IMF to teach the ants how to solve their problems. To no avail.

Ants kept working, and were called lazy, disorganized not educated, dirty and bandidos.

One day in 1994 the ants resolved to end their problems and implemented measures to solve their problems. At first they started well, but it was a false start, by 1999 they were again in the lurch. But they persevered. 29% of interest rates, while the cicada brought their to zero.

They didn’t consumed. The cicadas were consuming com gusto. The cicadas thought they were the champions and they had their trophies to show for their achievements. But it was those football matches they play only among themselves the weekend at the club called G-7, rules were very cavalier, you don’t have to be fit. You can have even a hangover, and they had champions and winners.

Then one day in August 2007, after 61 years of fantasy island, reality caught up with the cicadas. They came up to play their football thinking that they were going to win again. But on the other side of the field, Ronaldinho, Kaka and Robinho were warming up.

Blood splatters the place. In cicada’s land FED and ECB are trying to salvage the economies. In ant land: Bovespa opens high goes over 70.000 points, exporters afraid of flood of USD entering the country.