SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (28508)1/28/2008 12:07:02 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 217542
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(i) hong kong is down a blood curdling 4.5% on open, gap down, allowing only time for silent screaming and should massively enhance and re-rate my earlier notified fxp (ultrashort china index) wager, reduce the worth of my shorted puts on same fxp, and drive the desperate lootees towards sure salvation, gold and cash, and negative-interest rate supported hong kong real estate, even as some existing holders of same real estate may be forced to sell their good real estate in order to meet margin and other obligations in such dire times;

(ii) i exchanged some fiat currency for solid pristine and highly pure gold, this time of the american eagle variety, to (a) help balance the trade deficit, (b) return the junk money to the empire for recycling, and (c) support the true - all in all a noble and altruistic act. the coins will be divvied out to employees as chinese lunar new year 'red packet' lucky money for the coming year 4706 (as opposed to the earlier celebrated 2008 - the difference in numbering is, for cb ilaine's illumination, the difference between grand civilization and easy come and easy go pop culture);

i have been giving gold coins to employees since 1998 or there about, and as my employees have been with me for at least that long, their gold savings have done well, earning them gains that put to pale dividends and interests and such devices of fraud, because gold is true.

(iii) while at the bank, i once again asked them whether they have rsumed selling platinum, and no, but confirmed that they still buy back the stuff. the metals window asked me whether i would like to sell back to them the stuff that which i had accumulated from them at average price of 404. the bank offered 1,645. the offer price, relative to spot, is very good, and the discount is tiny compared to norm.

i responded that while their offer price is very good, better than normal, but not yet good enough, and in any case i wish to keep what the bank will not sell.

i had originally hoarded platinum because it was cheaper than gold, and because i wanted to set aside some off-balance sheet asset so as to gradually fund something fun. now the hoard is able to buy 2.5 of whatever i originally intended, and so its genuine purchasing has mathematically increased in a measurable way, as mathe tends to allow.

but, alas, i no longer want to exchange the hoard for the fun, at least not now, not right away, and so the hoard remains off-market, even as s.african mines shut down due to lack of power, in part because china is gobbling down the same s.african power to fuel its reversion to the mean.

come to think of it, china is also importing high water mark record amount of what i had once intended to trade the hoard for - just not as much as china gobbles platinum.

it is a race, platinum vs fun, which will rise the fastest, so that cb ilaine's automotive tail pipe gets progressively more expensive, all in favor of my loot.

(iv) where hong kong market closes may or may not indicate where the usa market opens, and perhaps i do not understand usa as well as greater china inclusive of taiwan, hong kong and macau, as cb ilaine contends, but i think the markets are linked, to share related fates, for a while.

(v) recommendation: do only paired trades from this juncture forward, even if the pairing is only implicit within the business itself, because stuff will go up and down, wildly, at different times.

one can even make money by better for and against oil, simultaneously, and take profit at different times, knowing full well that the pricing will not stay where it is now.

chugs, tj



To: pezz who wrote (28508)1/31/2008 1:06:04 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217542
 
Hello Pezz, Today’s Report:
The FED, girly men that they are, did the predictably unforgivable, followed up their panicked 75 points cut with a 50 points closer shave, and can be counted on to do still more trims in the foreseeable future, within this year surely.

Events must be bad, now that (i) the FED is clearly aiming to stabilize the share market which is the engine of financial economy’s phony growth to (ii) offset the rapidly implosion of the real economy, and (iii) the dollar does not suffer, because (iv) elsewhere is no better off.

Like you, I cannot leave a good series of loot well enough alone, and so have done the following setups for further looting:

(a) Bought super tranche lot of Shenhua Energy finance.yahoo.com (China coal mining / electricity generation) at HKD 38.85
(b) Bought same super tranche of HK paper tael gold at USD 919.54 per oz

Holiday starts as soon as I get from Beijing to Hong Kong, and then to points south.

Chugs, TJ



To: pezz who wrote (28508)2/9/2008 11:50:58 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217542
 
Hello Pezz, Weekend Report: Trimmed back sharply on equity exposure, and with the short positions already in place, effectively tilted to negative bias, as if I am not biased so enough.

I took a well-deserved whipping of owning serfs and will re-engage another day - should have stayed with gold.

The serfs? shoot them along with the prisoners.

I trimmed back on negative wager against Oil and Gas ... enough is enough, and given that G7 just mumbled something about raising oil production, I figured oil will zoom up instead.

I wait, for what I am not sure.

HK mortgage rate just hit 3.95% per annum, and so there is still 395 basis points of ammos for our monetary authority to shoot before having to unpeg from the USD.

Chugs, TJ



To: pezz who wrote (28508)2/11/2008 7:55:36 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217542
 
hello pezz, today's report: this report contains a "heads-up"

i bought a few computer games, intending to play them a lot so that i do not play with the market too much

i also am trying to rev up current income generation

... speaking of the market and income generation, this just in in-tray

And for all you Martin Armstrong followers (we know you're out there), the next cycle turning point is March 22nd (Easter Weekend).

contrahour.com



if you do not remember, martin armstrong was the one who called the february 2007 ominous turn of the market 9 years earlier.

i alerted you Message 23202634 on January 20th, 2007, and you reacted just so ... siliconinvestor.com

... and david's conclusion after the Big Market Event was Message 23325263

In a few day's time we are supposed to get rid of our shorts and put on our longs.

chugs, tj