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Politics : Sioux Nation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: geode00 who wrote (125973)2/1/2008 11:27:42 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 362935
 
Barack Obama and John McCain lead rivals 2-1 in Illinois, poll shows

chicagotribune.com

By Rick Pearson
Chicago Tribune reporter
9:15 PM CST, February 1, 2008

Favorite-son Sen. Barack Obama and Arizona Sen. John McCain each hold a better than 2-to-1 edge over their closest presidential rivals entering the Illinois primary, but many voters say they're still undecided or could change their mind before casting a ballot Tuesday, a new Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows.

The final survey before Illinois voters play their role in the Super Tuesday presidential contests in more than 20 states shows Hillary Clinton has lost support among African-American voters in the Democratic race while McCain has seen a surge in support among conservative Republicans who have distrusted him.

The survey found Obama, a first-term Illinois senator from Chicago, with the support of 55 percent among likely Democratic primary voters. Clinton, a two-term New York senator born in Chicago and raised in suburban Park Ridge, had 24 percent.

On the Republican side, McCain, a veteran Arizona senator, had the backing of 43 percent of likely GOP primary voters in the state, compared with 20 percent for former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, 15 percent for former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and 4 percent for Rep. Ron Paul of Texas.

Despite the commanding advantages held by Obama and McCain, the survey still found 20 percent of Democrats and 17 percent of Republicans undecided heading into the primary. And among those backing a candidate for president, nearly a quarter of Democrats and more than a third of Republicans said they could still change their minds.

The indecision was reflective of a quickly shifting presidential landscape in which surviving candidates have become more aggressive in trying to win nomination.

The survey, involving separate samples of 500 Republicans and Democrats who said they were likely to take part in the state's accelerated primary on Tuesday, has an error margin of 4.4 percentage points. The Democratic poll began Tuesday and the Republican poll began Wednesday; both polls concluded Thursday.

All of the Republicans were surveyed after McCain defeated Romney in last Tuesday's Florida primary and Rudy Giuliani, a former New York mayor, had announced he would drop out of the GOP contest.

Democrats were surveyed after the Florida balloting, and additional polling was conducted to reflect former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards' departure from the race.

At stake in the Illinois contest is its large pool of presidential nominating delegates for the Democratic and Republican national conventions.

Despite Obama's stature in Illinois, Clinton is seeking at least 15 percent support statewide as well as in each of the state's 19 congressional districts to gain delegates under national party rules. Republicans in the state will be directly electing delegates pledged to support their preferred candidate at the GOP's national convention.

Before a caucus or primary had been held, Obama led Clinton 50 percent to 25 percent in a similar Tribune survey conducted in mid-December. Since then, as the Democratic race turned into a one-on-one contest, Obama has gained support in Illinois while Clinton showed little change. But the number of undecided voters has nearly doubled.

The new poll showed Obama's strong popularity among Illinois Democrats was bolstered by a growing confidence that he could win the White House.

When asked which candidate has the best chance of beating a Republican in November, 48 percent of Democrats said Obama, compared with 23 percent for Clinton. In December, Democrats were almost evenly divided between Obama and Clinton over who would be the better general election candidate.

The most recent poll found support for Clinton among black voters dropped by 10 percentage points and her favorable rating among African-Americans fell almost 20 percentage points amid charges her campaign sought to inject race into the contest.

At the same time, Obama, the first black contender with a legitimate chance of becoming a major party presidential nominee, gained 7 percentage points among black voters as well as white voters.

Obama voters were also more sure of their choice than Clinton supporters. One-third of Clinton supporters said they could still change their mind before voting Tuesday, compared to one-in-five Obama backers.

The survey of the Republican contest reflects the dramatic changes that have occurred since December, when Giuliani had a 23 percent to 21 percent edge over Huckabee among likely GOP voters in the state. That earlier poll found McCain in fourth place with 12 percent support, behind Romney with 14 percent.

Since that time, McCain has gained momentum by winning contests in New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida, interrupted only by Romney's victories in Wyoming, Nevada and Michigan.

The new poll found McCain making wholesale gains among Republicans who describe themselves as either very or fairly conservative, potentially the result of former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson's departure and Huckabee's failure to win a contest since Iowa.

Conservatives traditionally have great influence in the state's GOP primary but in the past have questioned McCain's Republican credentials given his maverick role in Congress.

While few conservatives supported McCain in December, he now leads his rivals among those voters. He was backed by 42 percent of fairly conservative Republicans and 32 percent of very conservative GOP voters in the new poll.

In addition, McCain benefited from Giuliani's withdrawal among Republicans who describe themselves as moderates. Previously, the two had split the moderate vote but now McCain holds 55 percent.

Among all Republican voters, 56 percent said they believed McCain had the best chance to keep the White House in GOP hands, while only 16 percent chose Romney and 4 percent selected Huckabee. In December, only 6 percent of Republicans thought McCain had the best chance of winning in November, far behind Giuliani, Huckabee and Romney.

Still, 36 percent of Republicans who expressed a choice for a nominee said they could yet change their mind before Tuesday. That includes 41 percent of those backing Huckabee, 38 percent supporting McCain and 31 percent for Romney.

If the state's Democrats and Republicans can agree on one thing, it's that a majority of them believe that jobs and the economy are the most important issue. Asked their top two issues of concern, 62 percent of Democrats and 55 percent of Republicans listed the economy and its effect on employment.

Democrats cited affordable health care and the Iraq war as their second and third top concerns. Republicans made illegal immigration the issue of next highest concern behind the economy, with the Iraq war also reflected third.

Copyright © 2008, Chicago Tribune



To: geode00 who wrote (125973)2/2/2008 10:03:06 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 362935
 
Kennedy Revels in Limelight as He Stumps for Obama

nytimes.com

By MARK LEIBOVICH
The New York Times
February 2, 2008

SANTA FE, N.M. — “Are you glad to see me, Santa Fe?” Edward M. Kennedy roared.

“Yes!” Santa Fe roared back. There were whoops and “Viva Kennedy” chants from the overflow crowd at a community college. A man in the back held an “Obama 2008, Kennedy 2016” sign. “Estoy muy contento estar aquí en Santa Fe con usted,” Mr. Kennedy said in perfectly accented Spanish — that is, perfectly Boston-accented Spanish. (“I am very happy to be here in Santa Fe with you, ” he was trying to say, somewhat imperfectly.)

But Mr. Kennedy, the Massachusetts Democrat, is ever game for trying, and the crowd ate it up. The white-haired liberal legend with a bad back, halting speech and worn brown shoes has been called a “lion in winter” so many times that he has the political cliché version of frostbite.

Yet Mr. Kennedy, 75, is hot, hot, hot on the trail, stumping for Senator Barack Obama, who was 15 months old when Mr. Kennedy began his Senate career in 1962. He is drawing raucous crowds, invoking the family legacy, working the lunch crowd at the Flying Tortilla in Santa Fe and getting the kitchen staff together for a photo.

Arriving at a rally in East Los Angeles on Friday, Mr. Kennedy was swarmed by a couple of dozen reporters and the like, a big, fuzzy boom mike hovering over his head, autograph hounds and cellphone-camera paparazzi at the perimeter.

“It’s like when Tony Bennett suddenly became hip again after the kids discovered him,” observed Bill Carrick, a Democratic strategist and former Kennedy aide who attended the rally. “It’s the same thing with Kennedy. He’s MTV now. And instead of jazz clubs, he’s doing the Hollywood Bowl.”

It all started on Monday when Mr. Kennedy endorsed Mr. Obama — a decent and perhaps surprising political story, given Mr. Kennedy’s ties to the Clintons. It also had symbolic consequence (elder statesman anoints up-and-comer).

Then Mr. Kennedy appeared with Mr. Obama Monday at American University in Washington and drew screeches from the college students whose notion of “Kennedy” growing up was more apt to have been the MTV V.J. rather than the political dynasty. He has always had a knack for transcending generations, but this was different, bigger.

“There seems to be a special kind of feeling this time,” Mr. Kennedy said.

The clamor continued around the senator as he took his act solo to New Mexico (Thursday) and California (Friday), hitting largely Hispanic sites, seemingly having the time of his life. He sang in Spanish (“Jalisco”) on a Latino radio show in Los Angeles. He challenged Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger of California (a nephew-in-law) to arm-wrestle on the air for the presidency (the senator for Obama, the Governator for Senator John McCain).

Between rallies, Mr. Kennedy indulged in a fancy dinner in Beverly Hills on Thursday night with his wife, Victoria, an aide and two reporters. The maître d’ came over and told a slightly off-color story about Ronald Reagan, who used to sit with Nancy, in the very same booth. (Blasphemy alert: Ted Kennedy is sitting in Reagan’s booth!) Steve Martin and Diane Keaton were at the next table and the senator labored over to pay respects.

On the way out, Mr. Martin stopped by and said, “This dinner is compliments of the Republican Party,” whatever that meant, and Mr. Kennedy belly-laughed politely before returning to his veal.

On the stump, Mr. Kennedy began his set with a surefire applause line: One year from now, George W. Bush will be out of the White House.

He rarely mentioned Hillary Rodham Clinton by name, but veiled shots were unmistakable. He praised Mr. Obama’s experience, resisting the big-money law firm jobs out of law school to work as a community organizer.

“Now that’s the kind of experience I want,” Mr. Kennedy said, a clear reference to Mrs. Clinton’s mantra about her “35-years of experience.” He praised Mr. Obama’s willingness to play a visible role in the debate over immigration (implying Mrs. Clinton did not) and opposing the Iraq war from the beginning (ditto).

Per senatorial — and, in this case, family — birthright, Mr. Kennedy has had presidential notions of his own in the past. He lost to President Jimmy Carter in the 1980 Democratic primaries, then returned to the Senate, immersed himself in legislative life and liberal interests. Only two senators in history — Strom Thurmond of South Carolina and Robert C. Byrd of West Virginia — have served longer.

But Mr. Kennedy has hardly been cleansed of the presidential germ, at least on behalf of others. He has endorsed Democrats in past primaries, including his Massachusetts colleague, Senator John Kerry, for whom he campaigned tirelessly in 2004.

But friends and family members say there is a different feeling this time, a level of intensity that seems deeper, even sentimental.

“This involvement seems more personal to him somehow,” said Representative Patrick J. Kennedy, Democrat of Rhode Island and Mr. Kennedy’s son. “It’s like an opportunity for him to connect with the touchstone of his brothers’ legacy.”

Indeed, the comparisons of Mr. Obama to John F. Kennedy and Robert F. Kennedy may be slightly overstated, except that Mr. Kennedy himself is also making them, at least implicitly. “Fifty years ago, another young senator changed history,” he said at a rally in Albuquerque. He mentioned past visits he made to New Mexico for his brothers’ campaigns.

“Well, I think my brothers are on a pedestal unto themselves,” Mr. Kennedy said in a brief interview after the Santa Fe rally. “But Barack is a very inspiring figure to me.”

On the trail, Mr. Kennedy does not so much walk as lumber. His back is perpetually hunched, his face in a grimace, as if he is weighed down by so much baggage, burden, legacy.

But he is quick on his feet, too. While he was being introduced Thursday in Albuquerque, a fire alarm started wailing and a computerized voice urged everyone to evacuate. No one knew what to do. “I can’t think of a nicer crowd to go with,” Mr. Kennedy exclaimed, popping out of his seat. Everyone laughed, the fire alarm stopped, and all was good.

Later, Mr. Kennedy was at the airport, heading toward a Learjet leased for him by the Obama campaign. He and his wife clasped hands for the benefit of a photographer back-pedaling on the tarmac.

“Pretend we’re lovebirds,” Mrs. Kennedy said to her husband, playing to the camera.

“Yes, love birds, love birds,” he agreed.

“We’re heading onto the big bird,” she said.

And the Liberal Lion was actually giggling.



To: geode00 who wrote (125973)2/3/2008 7:37:32 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 362935
 
American Revolution

mydd.com

by 2008reform, Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 06:36:52 PM EST

We are in an election cycle where I hope the wonders never cease. Susan Eisenhower, Caroline Kennedy and Tom Hayden agree on the same thing. All three want Barack Obama to be the next President of the United States. Who does this scare? It severely frightens the establishment of both the Democratic and Republican parties. The recent purpose of our two party system has been to ferment screams of ear popping loudest and conjure the best scare tactics to cause panic among the American people.

Rudy Giuliani's failed candidacy should illustrate that Americans do not want a catastrophe candidate. We want a candidate who offers hope, growth and opportunity. It seems more and more Americans have come to the decision that Barack Obama is that candidate.

His critics say that he is inexperienced. Teddy Kennedy told us people said the same thing about his brother Jack, but in less than two years in office he influenced a whole generation to enter public service, fight for equality and be selfless with regard to our national interest.

We have had enough of corporate greed and special interest domination of our politics. It is for this reason that Obama has the political power structure running scared. The era of special interest domination of our politics from the corporate board room to the labor union may be in jeopardy. Their selfishness has gone far enough.

An Obama victory will put an end to pitting one group of Americans against another, or what the major parties euphemistically call constituent politics. Look at either party's web site and you will see the smoldering hodge-podge that is there view of America. We will see what should be a melting pot fractionalized into ethnic groups, gender preference and difference, age, religion, employment down to the minutest sub-group possible.

Once they have us separated is when their fun starts. They pit group against group and to hell with national unity. Once this occurs and victory is secured by one side or the other the new president believes he/she has the power of Christ to heal a divided nation.

We have witnessed at least sixteen years of division. The responsibility for this chasm can be laid at the door step of both political parties. The Republicans have their Scaife and the Democrats their Soros. Both sides are involved in subverting our constitution, the media and any entity that should be independent.

There was a time when a think-tank was a laboratory for ideas not ideology. We should not have to qualify the press by ideological affiliation. The press should report news. News is reality. Reality is garnered by empirical facts not spin.

The development of public policy should satisfy a two prong test. Will the policy strengthen the state and serve the public interest. Is, for example, President Bush's decision to cut funds from teaching hospitals and medical research to fund the war in Iraq a vital national interest? Is accruing a budget deficit of over $413 billion that excludes Iraq War appropriations for the public good? This year's deficit, by the way, will be the largest in our nation's history.

Cuts in aid to medical research and teaching hospitals are the front door budget cuts what about the projected budget cuts that will have to be addressed by our next president. George Bush's objective is a smaller federal government but he has left his successor to make the hard choices as discretionary funds wither away to pay interest on our debt.

Ms. Eisenhower is correct. We need a change in our national priorities but also in our national worth both as an ideal and in reality. Our greatness should not be behind us.

There are some economists who predict in a regionalized world at the turn of the century or sooner the United States will no longer be the richest country in the world but our economy will rank fifth. This ranking presupposes economic unity between Canada, Mexico and the Caribbean.

We seem to turn a blind-eye to the fact that as we decline as an economic power we will also decline as a military one. To promote "democracy" may have its pitfalls particularly when fostered with the brunt of a gun or state-of-the-art torture techniques. History may come back and dog one, particularly in a time of weakness.

The question we must ask ourselves this year and people in twenty-two states have to ask on Tuesday is do we want a status quo election of McCain versus Clinton or do we want a change election?

Do we want to continue to allow our international reputation to be sullied, our nation divided and our children's future threatened?

All this is between you a lever, a stylus, pushpin or finger.

Use it for change. Use it to start the third American Revolution.

(Joe Garcia is a political consultant with 25 years of political combat experience.)