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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ChanceIs who wrote (104000)2/8/2008 7:52:04 AM
From: alanrsRespond to of 306849
 
Historically, more efficient energy production and use has lead to increased energy use overall as new applications take advantage of these efficiencies. New things that use energy increase faster than improvements/conservation cut the use to the existing things. Historically.

ARS



To: ChanceIs who wrote (104000)2/8/2008 10:05:04 AM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
I'm aware that in the past, electricity use hasn't actually gone below zero growth. But projections for grid equivalence typically don't even price in growth reductoin at all, ie, they are still 'optimistic'. I'm still bullish on the sector but a recession clearly poses risk to revenue growth (not to mention PE contraction). Worth considering when yer dealing with stocks with a 500 PE.

I'm kinda waiting for the big solar thermoelectric plays to come public. I think they can be scaled very very rapidly (and we'll need them). I have a little SPWR, but that's gambling money for now.