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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paxb2u who wrote (4126)	2/10/2008 10:14:53 AM
From: Real Man	Respond to of 71456

I hope no depression, FWIW. My scenario is in the thread head. The dollar will need to fall until the current account deficit comes down. We are looking at higher inflation and slower real economic growth for some time, hopefully not abruptly (the dollar crisis). Inflation could come down a bit due to recession, but will stay high, even though official statistics might not correctly reflect it. However, the Fed is sure pushing the pedal due to housing bubble pop and is risking an abrupt dollar fall, and that will be very bad short term, although the bad stuff might just end sooner rather than later. There is an optimist in me, somewhere, but I don't like the numbers. There are plenty of risks that could easily push us off the cliff.