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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JBTFD who wrote (256942)	2/19/2008 1:24:23 PM
From: one_less	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

The outcomes in Iraq are to some extent predictable no matter who or which party in the USA wins elections. The presence of the US military will decrease in numbers and at the current level of intervention as the Iraqi nation settles to relative security in their civil society... simply because our justification to remain as an occupying force is canceled under such circumstances. We can predict some secular strife and occasional regional power struggles but that doesn't justify the continued occupation of a super power military. The Suni Muslims in the North were the biggest obstacle to that but they have now turned a corner and are cooperating. The Shi'ites of the South under Moktada Al-Sadr are just as anti-American as Al-Quaida but they have realized the quickest way to justify an American exit would be to support the pacification of the region. They are articulating a Mahdi Army power structure in the shadows that will extend from Iran through Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon. Skirmishes with us are counter productive to accomplishing that goal.