Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (10373)	2/20/2008 11:00:58 AM
From: Road Walker	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 149317

Good questions. I don't buy the Chris Matthews thing. If you switch the candidates, and Obama was slightly behind in delegates, close to a wash in national polls, and leading polls in three upcoming big states I don't think anyone on this thread would want him to throw in the towel. You are right that the general is a different animal. So much power and money at stake for so many powerful people. I think Obama can play the "culture of corruption" and removing power from special interests much better than Hill or McCain; and I think it resonates as well as almost any issue. He has a clear advantage as a fund raiser. A terrorist attack between now and the election day would probably result in a 20 point shift towards McCain against Obama; maybe half that against Hill. There are so many unknowns... we may not even be aware of the issue that will ultimately determine the outcome of the general in 9 months. I'm still worried about the Dems self-destructing. Which could happen with a brokered convention. Also expect the next couple of weeks and debates to get much more hostile between Hill and Obama. The most interesting primary season of my lifetime, that's for sure...

To: michael97123 who wrote (10373)	2/20/2008 11:46:56 AM
From: stockman_scott	Respond to of 149317

Rasmussen Markets Update: Obama Now Overwhelming Favorite to Win Democratic Presidential Nomination rasmussenreports.com Wednesday, February 20, 2008 <<...On the morning after his big victory in Wisconsin, Rasmussen Markets data showed that Barack Obama had a 79% chance of winning the Democratic Presidential nomination. Hillary Clinton’s prospects had fallen to just 20% (current prices: Obama : 80.7% Clinton: 18.8%). Those figures reflect a nine-percentage point gain for Obama--before voting began in Wisconsin, the markets gave Obama a 70% chance of victory. The impact of the Illinois Senator’s solid seventeen-point victory is also seen in expectations for the upcoming primaries in Texas and Ohio. On Wednesday morning, Rasmussen Markets show Obama with a 70% chance of winning Texas, up from 54% the previous morning (current prices: Obama : 68.0% Clinton: 30.0%). The same pattern is seen in the Buckeye State, where Obama was given a 47% chance of victory on Wednesday morning, up from 38% the day before (current prices: Obama : 53.9% Clinton: 50.5%). Part of the reason for the shift may be that, in Wisconsin, Obama once again proved to be a very strong closer. According to the exit polls, 30% of voters made up their mind in the final week of campaigning and they overwhelmingly favored Obama. Those results are consistent with a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted a week before the Primary which showed Obama with a modest lead but 24% of voters still saying they could change their mind. Over the past week, Obama has also gained ground nationally and taken the lead in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Exit polls also show that Obama cut deeply in Clinton’s core constituencies while winning the vote in Wisconsin. Most notably, Obama split the votes of women evenly with Clinton. Obama won among all age groups except those 65 and older. But, even among the seniors, he picked up 45% of the vote. Obama also won among the less educated and lower-income voters, segments of the electorate that had typically supported Clinton earlier in the year. Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters in Wisconsin said that Obama has a better chance of winning in November than Clinton. In most of the states polled recently, Obama outperforms Clinton in match-ups with John McCain...>>