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Politics : Welcome to Slider's Dugout -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (8094)2/28/2008 7:19:34 AM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Respond to of 50466
 
The 2nd wave of buyers are getting on the bus...

I commented yesteday about "having an exit/profit taking
plan" for each interim trading leg, which a catalyst in
mind that will bring in the next wave and class of buyers:

Message 24351231

["When you anticipate a move, when you buy in early - you
need to have a plan as to who you are going to sell to
at much higher prices) and what catalyst will cause them
to pay much higher prices.

There is still a MASSIVE amount of cash on
the sidelines, and fund managers who have little or no
exposure to commodities, must now buy exposure to match
peers who do. And you are witnessing one helluva lot of
"OPM" being thrown around doing just that.
"]

=======================================================

The next wave of buyers that will come into gold and
commodities is the professional fund managers who do
not have peer exposure to commodities and who will
throw massive amounts of OPM (other peoples money) at
both gold and commodities - because that is their mandate:
Peer and/or benchmark performance.

Rationality, valuations, and common sense will never enter
the equation for those playing with OPM. The NASDAQ bubble
at 5,000 is a great example of that.

As CNBC reported this morning - here comes the institutional
players like Calpers who must gain more exposure to commodities:

bloomberg.com

Calpers to Boost Commodity Investments Through 2010 (Update1)

By Saijel Kishan

Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) -- The California Public Employees'
Retirement System, the largest U.S. pension fund, may
increase its commodities investments 16-fold
to $7.2 billion
through 2010 as raw materials prices surge to records.

======================================================

One other thing to keep in mind - is how different this
gold/commodity market is from the last great gold bull run
that peaked in 1980/81. Today's investor/trader/speculator
has many, many, more choices. ETF's have forever changed
the landscape, as has the age of online trading and 24x7
global markets.

Volatility will only get more severe and the inside players
will use volatility to their advantage more effectively
than ever before. If you think the shakeouts of May 2006,
or August 2007 were severe... just wait.

...and remember, the single most valuable commodity in
this market - is information.

Moflation, mo later,

S.O.T.B.



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (8094)2/28/2008 4:33:41 PM
From: TRINDY  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50466
 
Greetings. Thanks for all of your posts. You mentioned five other PAL's that you have in mind. I would, among others, certainly like to hear more. I remember hearing someone recommend Imperial Sugar (IPSU) and another recommending ConAgra (CAG). Do you have any feel for these two? I noticed that their prices seem fairly low right now, but they may prove to be on the "bad end of the stick" as buyers of commodities. Cheers!