Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (51180)	3/1/2008 5:08:34 PM
From: Katelew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 542760

Proving causation over correlation can be tough, with an almost infinite number of variables involved. In terms of prediction, I stick the topic of global warming in my mind along with the topic of the economy. By that I mean that the ability for one to predict anything is terribly compromised by the ever-changing complexity of the variables. All you can do, it seems to me, is to have working assumptions and be prepared to stay nimble and tack different directions when the data changes. There's a fun commercial that somewhat represents the Rube Goldberg structure of both the economy and the science of global warming. This group may have seen it before. If not, watch it and keep in mind that it's authentic....no computer tricks are involved. youtube.com