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Politics : Sioux Nation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sylvester80 who wrote (128817)3/3/2008 4:31:20 PM
From: Mannie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 362296
 
That Richardson would directly fault Hillary's core closing argument, and endorse Obama's central claim to having sound judgment, seems telling -- another sign that Richardson may be laying the groundwork to endorse Obama, should tomorrow's results give him an opening to do so.

I hope Richardson has a major position in the next administration.



To: sylvester80 who wrote (128817)3/3/2008 4:39:35 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 362296
 
Zogby Poll: Obama overtakes Clinton in Ohio
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Dayton Business Journal

Monday, March 3, 2008 - 2:19 PM EST

A new poll shows Barack Obama has taken a narrow lead over Hillary Clinton in Ohio for the first time in the campaign for the state that could decide which Democratic Senator will win their party's nomination for president. However, other polls still show Clinton in the lead, with the gap shrinking.

With a day to go before the primary election, a Zogby International poll for Reuters/C-SPAN/Houston Chronicle that was taken between Feb. 29 and March 2 shows Obama with 47 percent compared with Clinton's 45 percent. The previous poll from a few days earlier showed Clinton with a narrow 47 percent to 46 percent lead. The same poll showed the race in Texas, which also has its primary Tuesday along with Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont, narrowing. Obama had a four percentage-point lead several days ago, but that has shrunk slight to a three percentage-point lead at 47 percent to 44 percent.

"The Democratic race has been neck-and-neck in both states, but it has been interesting to watch the volatility under way among Democrats in eastern Texas, which is the swing area of that state," said pollster John Zogby.

In Ohio, Obama has improved his support among men, which Zogby said could be the reason he has moved ahead of Clinton.

Both the Ohio and Texas results in the Zogby poll are within the margin of error of 3.6 percent among the 761 Ohio voters polled, and 3.7 percent among the 748 respondents in Texas.

Other polls show Clinton still maintaining an edge among the two candidates in Ohio, but with Obama gaining ground.

A Quinnipiac University poll conducted between Feb. 27 and March 2 indicates the race for the Democratic primary in the state has narrowed to Clinton's 49 percent lead over Obama's 45 percent, with a margin of error of 3.5 percent. Less than a week ago, Clinton led with 51 percent to Obama's 40 percent, an advantage that had weakened from 55 percent to 34 percent on Feb. 14.

Quinnipiac officials said Obama's attempt to close the gap was aided last week by growing support among men and black voters. According to the poll, Obama leads with black voters with 90 percent support, versus Clinton's 4 percent, while Clinton maintains a 60 percent lead among white voters to Obama's 34 percent.

Preferences by gender among the 799 surveyed voters were split in the most recent poll, Obama leading 55 percent to Clinton's 39 percent among men and Clinton leading 55 percent to Obama's 39 percent with women.

With preferences so defined in different groups, demographic factors in the turnout are likely to become key Tuesday, Peter Brown, director of Quinnipiac's polling institute, said in a release.

"It's not just whether (turnout) is higher than normal, which everyone expects it to be," he said. "The key question is whether turnout is disproportionately higher among some demographic groups than others."

As for the prospect of last-minute changes of heart, 87 percent of surveyed voters said their minds were made up.

Other poll results by demographic:

Obama leads voters aged 18 to 44 with 58 percent to Clinton's 37 percent, while Clinton leads voters 45 and up 55 percent to Obama's 39 percent.

Voters with no college degree side with Clinton 51 percent to Obama's 43 percent while college-educated voters narrowly support Obama 49 percent to Clinton's 45 percent.

Both contenders are nearly deadlocked among voters with an annual household income above $50,000, Obama leading with 48 percent to Clinton's 47 percent. Voters with annual income below $50,000, however, lean toward Clinton 50 percent to Obama's 44 percent.

E-mail dayton@bizjournals.com. Call (937) 528-4400.

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