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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GST who wrote (91866)3/4/2008 4:13:15 PM
From: MulhollandDrive  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Its balance sheet versus income statement -- your assets go down, your expenses go up and your income stays flat. Its a complete reversal of fortune.

you can see why there is so much pressure being brought to bear by external forces (ie, the fed, washington) to keep the asset class of RE in it's bubble state, indeed the external forces were instrumental in creating the bubble in the first place

and it won't work

speculative bubbles cannot be 'maintained' at a permanently high plateau by tinkering with real market forces<ng>



To: GST who wrote (91866)3/4/2008 4:16:54 PM
From: Keith Feral  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
I'll give you the end of cheap oil. Labor is going to get cheaper and interest rates are in a nose dive making credit much cheaper than it was a year ago. Still, the predominant theme is risk from all the banking writedowns. It totally overwhelms the benefits of cheap credit.

I don't see any of my prices going up this year except for gasoline prices. Cheaper insurance bills, cheaper telecom bills, cheaper car payments, cheaper computers, and just about everything that isn't going into my gas tank. The biggest place I see deflation is in stock prices.