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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Riskmgmt who wrote (4662)3/6/2008 12:16:41 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71442
 
You are right, of course, and I've seen some cheap distressed
properties in parts of FL as well. Generally speaking,
there are less bargains to be had in bubble areas, especially
given that many of the loans were jumbo, prices just started
falling, and inventory levels are still very high. These may have
to come down some more, but I agree with you - bargain hunting
may be well warranted in some local areas in FL as well.
While the price MAY indeed
fall some more even if you buy in a distressed area, the long
term risk seems minimal if you buy a reasonable property
for 1/2 of cost to build?
RE bear usually lasts 3-4 years, and we are well into the
third year. Now, with cover articles like "housing meltdown"
in business week, the bottom has to be there somewhere -g-
Lots of bargains around, with all these foreclosures hitting
various local markets. Of course, there is some risk that
commodities will crash, along with the cost to build, but
for now these are bargains, and I don't think a commodity crash
is a given outcome of this crisis.