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To: elliottrules who wrote (164103)	3/8/2008 8:25:35 PM
From: skinowski	Respond to of 209892

Interesting picture. Looks like rates were "lagging" the markets from 2000 until 2006, and now it looks like they are "leading". What does this mean? The Fed is trying to be "preventive"? What if this doesn't work - and the rates continue to lead? As for KW, I think it is a fascinating subject... but it is a very slow process. One can be off by a few years (which can create problems), and the Long Wave will still eventually proceed at its own pace.

To: elliottrules who wrote (164103)	3/8/2008 8:58:14 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 209892

Nice chart...as usual..ER...Interesting feature,,,Stocks led the down in 2000-2001. led the advance in 2003-2003...BUT lagged on the high and downturn in 2007-2008..Any thoughts why ???...(other than K-Wave...LOL)

To: elliottrules who wrote (164103)	3/12/2008 9:32:37 PM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 209892

Hi ER, Back from Vegas - glad to be home. IF the fed's new liquidity plan can sterilize these bonds and get them trading again - as well as globally,I wouldn't be surprised to see them defy wall street and NOT lower rates next week. At least drop them by only a quarter point. The 2 year is at 1 3/4,the yield curve is definitely steep and banks are making a nice spread on only good credit riosks - that's very profitable. All they need to do is stop the writedowns bu every quarter and call it over then show profits - we'll be back to expansion slowed by real estate not recession dragged into by real estate. Then we'll see a hige equity rally and within 6-9 months we'll have rates going up driven by inflation. It looks to me that 08-09 will be much like 99-00. BWDIK. Bob