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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold & Gold Stock Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (12477)3/12/2008 11:35:03 AM
From: Feraldo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29622
 
I don't think the miners are moving because people do not have the same confidence in a miner as the physical commodity. Right now stocks are unattractive in general and when the public views this they look for other ways to play gold. When the public finally realizes that miners make a much more accelerated amount of cash as prices reach these levels, the market for gold miners will take off.

If gold is at $700 and costs are $500 and then gold goes to $900 that doubles profit, contrary to perhaps the general view where 700 to 900 should be 29% more profits. It takes a while for the public to get to this realization perhaps.

Edit: The same would go for many other metal miners also. The cost structure of the business is such that recent price increases have double profits for the miners. Silver is a good one. Let's say costs are at $8/oz and price goes from $14 to $20 and ounce then profits have double for the silver companies as well. Many miners have significantly lower costs structures than the $8/$500 I used here.



To: yard_man who wrote (12477)3/12/2008 4:44:07 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29622
 
I hope so. OTOH, once again GLD up 1%, SLV up > 2% and HUI and XAU both red....that used to be a "negative divergence", now it's just business as usual?