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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (13431)	3/13/2008 4:14:14 PM
From: Road Walker	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 149317

Don't like it... The truth is that if I had to bet right now I would bet Hill gets the nomination. I think Obama has to fight for each and every delegate. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Details of a possible delegate plan under discussion:–Michigan’s 156 delegates would be split 50-50 between Clinton and Obama. –Florida’s existing delegates would be seated at the Denver convention—but with half a vote each. That would give Clinton a net gain of about 19 elected delegates. – The two states’ superdelegates would then be able to vote in Denver, likely netting Clinton a few more delegates. The betting: Florida and Michigan delegates, the DNC, and the Clinton campaign would all — some reluctantly– accept this deal. Then it would be over to you, Barack Obama.

To: michael97123 who wrote (13431)	3/13/2008 6:33:50 PM
From: RetiredNow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 149317

Obama had better do the math on that one. If they allow MI and FL delegates to be seated with 1/2 a vote, then here's what would happen: Florida pledged delegates = 185 + 26 supers Hillary = 50% popular vote to Obama's 33% Rumor has it that Hillary will get almost all the Florida supers if they are allowed to sit. So here's the worst case scenario: Hillary = 93 + 26 = 119 delegates Obama = 61 Hillary net gain = 58 delegates Michigan pledged delegates = 128 + 28 supers Obama was not on the ticket, so he gets nothing Hillary got 55% of popular vote, so she'd get 64 plus all the supers = 92 So out of this fiasco, she could net 153 delegates. Multiply that by the 1/2 vote each gets, and she would net 77 over Obama, if the worst case scenario comes to pass. That would be close enough to potentially steal the nomination from Obama. If I were on Obama's staff, I'd pull out all the stops to ensure this outcome does not happen.