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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (30993)3/16/2008 3:08:53 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 219928
 
I think your 400k per capita comes from people assuming that -

1) Social Security and other programs are debt obligations (they aren't)
2) Looking at the out go side and ignoring income
2)Using a 50 year time frame (why not 70 years ? or 200 ?)
3)Often not discounting the time value of money.

Let's call this the straight line method.
This produces very scary numbers.

Better numbers -

en.wikipedia.org

94 k is pretty high considering that most small children make under 20 k per year.

Let's do an exercise. Joe12pack makes 100k as an engineer, and lives in a house worth 300k with a 240k, 30 year mortgage. Over the next 30 years, he will pay 580k paying paying off that mortgage.

So he has 580k of debt, using the straight line method.