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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Moominoid who wrote (31296)	3/18/2008 9:29:39 PM
From: Riskmgmt	Respond to of 218155

>>First those are the amounts at two different times, and second that's not their net position.<< Yes, it was pointed out earlier. Message 24416414 Still a huge number anyway you slice it. Message 24416195

To: Moominoid who wrote (31296)	3/19/2008 1:18:22 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (7) \| Respond to of 218155

just in in-tray quote As I said yesterday, the rumor is that a big bank will go down in the next 3 months or so. One that will make Bear Stearns look like a "pimple on a bum." They seemed to imply that it would be a European Bank... UBS? RBS? Barclays? I don't know. But it would correspond with Jim's info that ECB and BoE officials / governors cancelled their Easter holidays..... I still think that we are in a bear market for reasons previously stated and reinforced by Jim & David. That said, it is worth remembering that in the 2000-2002 bear market we had 3 rallies of 10% or more and 2 rallies of 20% or more. I can't see us taking out 1440 on the S&P, but that would still imply another 6-7% on the upside from here..... I do find it fascinating that the US Transportation Index is up over 2% for the year, in spite of much higher fuel costs for these companies... As for the Armstrong "cycle turn," I'm guessing that it is not for a stock market this time. Perhaps it is for the US dollar? For if a European Bank is really going bust, the Euro would probably get absolutely trashed, helping the US dollar for the medium term..... unquote