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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bridge Player who wrote (54810)	3/21/2008 9:49:05 AM
From: JohnM	Respond to of 542836

Do you feel that those superdelegates who are still uncommitted are likely to be more swayed towards Hillary, as a result of the Wright issue and resulting concerns about Obama's electability in November? I don't, of course, have any serious idea. Much easier to look backward than forward. What was the Yogi Berra quote? It's really hard to make predictions, particularly about the future. Well, I know I didn't get it right, but . . . . My guess is there are multiple motivations among supers: some worried only about electability, perhaps only their own; some worried about the legitimacy of the process; some worried about the reading of a process which might turn down Obama as an act of cowardice; etc. I genuinely don't know which are there; how prevalent they are; and just how that mix might work out for a single individual. On that last point, I suspect most supers are torn between several motives. There's no doubt the Clinton campaign will make the argument, though they are going to have to show more skill doing it than their campaign has shown during the primaries. They could be ham fisted about it and it boomerangs on them. That appears to be the case at the moment. We are in, genuinely, uncharted waters right now in which a presidential campaign and a reasonably serious seminar on race in American try to coexist. I would love to see the the latter dominate. But, given the way we've chosen to run these campaigns in that last three decades, I don't expect to see my hopes realized.