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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KLP who wrote (243702)3/27/2008 4:57:32 AM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793991
 
Jay Cost has an interesting spreadsheet in his latest column which allows you to predict the Dem primaries for yourself. I looked at the spreadsheet. It's far from clear that Obama will even come out ahead in the popular vote, especially if the DNC decides to count Florida and Michigan somehow (and how can they not? the Dems are going to disenfranchise Florida? really?). All you need is a five percent shift towards Hillary in Pennsylvania and Indiania and North Carolina, and/or a larger turnout, and Obama will lose in the popular vote.
realclearpolitics.com