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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam who wrote (21041)3/27/2008 8:38:57 PM
From: neolib  Respond to of 36917
 
It now seems likely (Loutre and Berger, Climatic Change, 46: (1-2) 61-90 2000) that the current interglacial, based purely on natural forcing, would last for an exceptionally long time: perhaps 50,000 years.

I'd read that article before, but had not grasped the above. I'd like to find out a bit more about that claim.



To: Sam who wrote (21041)3/28/2008 9:27:53 AM
From: Triffin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36917
 

Having presented evidence that major changes in past climate were associated with variations in the geometry of the earth's orbit, we should be able to predict the trend of future climate


Is it safe to assume that this has been done ?? ie A study of
orbital dynamics as it relates to the timing of prior glaciations ?? I'm not aware that we have the ability to
influence changes in the planet's orbit so; therefore, I assume that the scientific commmunity 'knows' where we are and where we're headed in the current climate cycle ?? Thus AGW would serve to either amplify or mitigate the natural cycle ..

Triff ..