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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: neolib who wrote (21074)3/31/2008 1:13:36 PM
From: average joe  Respond to of 36917
 
I thought Al Gore invented fire during one of his memory lapses.

Great balls of fire!

Mar 27th 2008

From The Economist print edition

Recreating the floating fireballs sometimes seen during thunderstorms

ON A stormy summer's day in the middle of the 18th century a physicist called Georg Richmann had an unfortunate encounter with a rare force of nature. He had set up a rod in his home in St Petersburg to study lightning strikes, but he got more than he bargained for when a pale blue ball of fire emerged from the rod and struck him in the head. Not only did the fireball kill him, but it also blew his shoes apart, knocked out his assistant and tore a nearby door off its hinges.

That fireball was what is now known as ball-lightning, a phenomenon as perplexing as it is spectacular. Thousands of people claim to have seen ball-lightning—glowing, roughly spherical balls of light, usually produced around the time of a thunderstorm—but the details of these sightings vary enormously. The size of the fireballs range from tennis balls to basketballs. They can be red, blue, yellow, white or even green. They may meander along the ground or drop out of the sky. They can pass through windows and emerge from fireplaces. They have even been seen to travel along aeroplane aisles in mid-flight. Philosophers and scientists, from Lucius Seneca to Niels Bohr, have studied the phenomenon and though few have met with the fate of poor Richmann, none has been able to produce a theory that can account for the full range of the lightning balls' observed characteristics.

Eli Jerby and Vladimir Dikhtyar, of Tel Aviv University, have not come up with a full explanation, either. But they may have a partial one. And, coincidentally, it involves those most fashionable of modern-day scientific objects, nanoparticles.

The story began in 2006, when Dr Jerby and Dr Dikhtyar managed to create ball-lightning-like fireballs in their laboratory. They did this by putting pieces of silicon or one of a number of other solid materials inside a shoe-box-sized cavity and zapping the material with microwaves from a metal tip. Once the material had melted, the researchers pulled the metal tip away, dragging material from the molten hotspot. That created a column of fire which then detached itself to form a floating, quivering fireball.

Now, Dr Jerby and Dr Dikhtyar have teamed up with Brian Mitchell of the University of Rennes and his colleagues at the European Synchrotron Radiation Facility (ESRF), a giant X-ray machine in France, to analyse the structure of their fireballs. By making fireballs in the path of the ESRF's X-rays, and observing how the rays are scattered, the researchers have concluded that the balls are full of particles with a diameter of about 50 billionths of a metre. In other words, 50 nanometres. In other words, nanoparticles.

This research, published recently in Physical Review Letters, supports a theory put forward several years ago by John Abrahamson, a chemical engineer from the University of Canterbury, in New Zealand. Dr Abrahamson believes that ball-lightning forms when a conventional lightning strike vaporises carbon and silicon oxides found in soil. The carbon strips the silicon of its oxygen, allowing the silicon atoms to group together into nanoparticles as they cool. These nanoparticles then oxidise back into silicon oxides, drawing oxygen from the surrounding air. As they do so, they emit heat and light.

The new work by Messrs Jerby, Dikhtyar, Mitchell and their colleagues is not proof that natural ball-lightning consists of silicon nanoparticles. For one thing, the fireballs produced last for only around 30 milliseconds after the microwave source has been turned off. Natural ball-lightning can last for many seconds. For another, the artificial fireballs seem to be glowing because of the excitation of the atoms within the vaporised material rather than because of oxidation. Moreover, Dr Abrahamson's theory fails to explain how ball-lightning can pass through windows and other solid objects, as some claim.

Excited states

If those observers are correct, some other type of explanation may be needed. One such is that a laser-like phenomenon is involved. Excited water molecules in the air emit microwaves that then stimulate the emission of further microwaves by their neighbours (this is how a laser works). According to Peter Handel of the University of Missouri that can, in the right circumstances, create a standing wave of electromagnetic energy which makes the surrounding air glow. Other, even more esoteric explanations involve antimatter and even tiny black holes left over from the Big Bang.

It is therefore, as Dr Jerby admits, too early to claim victory for the nanoparticle hypothesis. However, he is confident that, eventually, someone will recreate real, long-lived ball-lightning in the laboratory. And when they do he expects this to reveal its true nature without, it is to be hoped, killing anybody first.

economist.com



To: neolib who wrote (21074)4/5/2008 1:44:28 PM
From: average joe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36917
 
Global temperatures 'to decrease'

By Roger Harrabin
BBC News environment analyst

Global temperatures for 2008 will be slightly cooler than last year as a result of the cold La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists have said.

The World Meteorological Organization's secretary-general, Michel Jarraud, told the BBC it was likely that La Nina would continue into the summer.

But this year's temperatures would still be way above the average - and we would soon exceed the record year of 1998 because of global warming induced by greenhouse gases.

The WMO points out that the decade from 1998 to 2007 was the warmest on record. Since the beginning of the 20th Century, the global average surface temperature has risen by 0.74C.

While Nasa, the US space agency, cites 2005 as the warmest year, the UK's Hadley Centre lists it as second to 1998.

Researchers say the uncertainty in the observed value for any particular year is larger than these small temperature differences. What matters, they say, is the long-term upward trend.

Rises 'stalled'

LA NINA KEY FACTS

La Nina translates from the Spanish as "The Child Girl"
Refers to the extensive cooling of the central and eastern Pacific

Increased sea temperatures on the western side of the Pacific mean the atmosphere has more energy and frequency of heavy rain and thunderstorms is increased
Typically lasts for up to 12 months and generally less damaging event than the stronger El Nino

La Nina and El Nino are two great natural Pacific currents whose effects are so huge they resonate round the world.

El Nino warms the planet when it happens; La Nina cools it. This year, the Pacific is in the grip of a powerful La Nina.

It has contributed to torrential rains in Australia and to some of the coldest temperatures in memory in snow-bound parts of China.

Mr Jarraud told the BBC that the effect was likely to continue into the summer, depressing temperatures globally by a fraction of a degree.

This would mean that temperatures have not risen globally since 1998 when El Nino warmed the world.

Watching trends

A minority of scientists question whether this means global warming has peaked and argue the Earth has proved more resilient to greenhouse gases than predicted.

Animation of El Nino and La Nina effects

But Mr Jarraud insisted this was not the case and noted that 2008 temperatures would still be well above average for the century.

"When you look at climate change you should not look at any particular year," he said. "You should look at trends over a pretty long period and the trend of temperature globally is still very much indicative of warming.

"La Nina is part of what we call 'variability'. There has always been and there will always be cooler and warmer years, but what is important for climate change is that the trend is up; the climate on average is warming even if there is a temporary cooling because of La Nina."

China suffered from heavy snow in January

Adam Scaife, lead scientist for Modelling Climate Variability at the Hadley Centre in Exeter, UK, said their best estimate for 2008 was about 0.4C above the 1961-1990 average, and higher than this if you compared it with further back in the 20th Century.

Mr Scaife told the BBC: "What's happened now is that La Nina has come along and depressed temperatures slightly but these changes are very small compared to the long-term climate change signal, and in a few years time we are confident that the current record temperature of 1998 will be beaten when the La Nina has ended."

news.bbc.co.uk