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Technology Stocks : Spansion Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Joe NYC who wrote (3694)4/1/2008 7:15:06 PM
From: bobs10  Respond to of 4590
 
you:

Does it make any sense to anyone?

me:

Did a little googling and came up with this:

franciscopartners.com

"With approximately $5 billion in capital and a team of 30 investment professionals worldwide, we have the wherewithal and flexibility to pursue investments ranging in enterprise value from $25 million to $2 billion."

So these guys aren't small potatoes and they have experience doing these sorts of deals. Still, even the big boys make mistakes. Perhaps they committed to this venture before the market crashed and memory, as a business, went completely to hell? This wouldn't be the first time INTC has sold a partner down the river.



To: Joe NYC who wrote (3694)4/2/2008 2:14:10 PM
From: Pam  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4590
 
Here are some numbers as per my understanding-

Ownership:
INTC, STM, SFP: 45.1%, 48.6%, 6.3% (Total 100%)

Cash: 585MM (450MM from 4 year term loan + 150MM from SFP less 15MM expenses paid). 100MM RC not invoked as yet. INTC & STM guarantee 225MM loan each for 4 years.

Notes payable to INTC, STM, SFP: 144.4MM, 155.6MM, 20MM =320MM

Total Debt: 450MM (4 year term loans)+ 320MM (Notes payable)= 770MM

Estimated revs: 3B

Writeoffs to be taken:
INTC: 300MM in 1Q on top of 85MM in C4Q07
STM: 150MM in 1Q on top of 249MM in C4Q07

SPSN's enterprise value is just 1.4B because they have way too much debt for the revs and margins they have. Not enough CF's unless pricing and margins improve. Way too much risk until a clearer picture emerges for NOR market and pricing going forward. What it means is that SPSN will remain volatile. Most people just look at gains that could be had but forget the amount of risk they are taking.