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To: ig who wrote (21)4/3/2008 3:40:35 AM
From: ~digs  Respond to of 62
 
perhaps there are just as many sexists unwilling to vote for a women, as there are racists unwilling to vote for a black man?

..food for thought

you are right about big money being made on the long shots.. but they are long shots precisely because they do not pan out very often

most people will find that it is difficult to keep an intrade or tradesports account open and funded if they are in the habit of buying long shots

as of now the market is saying you have about a one in seven chance of being right about hillary receiving the democratic nomination

if i were at a poker table and knew my odds of winning were 1 in 7, you can be assured that i would fold

jmo, fwiw



To: ig who wrote (21)4/14/2008 4:55:43 AM
From: ig  Respond to of 62
 
They're reading my mail...

What Clinton wishes she could say
By JOHN F. HARRIS & JIM VANDEHEI 4/13/08

Obama is on the brink of Democratic nomination without confronting head-on questions about his general-election hurdles.

Why, ask many Democrats and media commentators, won’t Hillary Rodham Clinton see the long odds against her, put her own ambitions aside, and gracefully embrace Barack Obama as the inevitable Democratic nominee?

Here is why: She and Bill Clinton both devoutly believe that Obama’s likely victory is a disaster-in-waiting. Naive Democrats just don’t see it. And a timid, pro-Obama press corps, in their view, won’t tell the story.

But Hillary Clinton won’t tell it, either.

A lot of coverage of the Clinton campaign supposes them to be in kitchen-sink mode — hurling every pot and pan, no matter the damage this might do to Obama as the likely Democratic nominee in the fall.

In fact, the Democratic race has not been especially rough by historical standards. What’s more, our conversations with Democrats who speak to the Clintons make plain that their public comments are only the palest version of what they really believe: that if Obama is the nominee, a likely Democratic victory would turn to a near-certain defeat.

Far from a no-holds-barred affair, the Democratic contest has been an exercise in self-censorship.

Rip off the duct tape and here is what they would say: Obama has serious problems with Jewish voters (goodbye Florida), working-class whites (goodbye Ohio) and Hispanics (goodbye, New Mexico).

Republicans will also ruthlessly exploit openings that Clinton — in the genteel confines of an intraparty contest — never could.

More here:
politico.com