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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pashkov who wrote (93149)4/4/2008 9:26:42 AM
From: microhoogle!  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Now that neocons know that there is oil up north, it is a matter of time before Canada becomes a part of US <vbg>



To: Pashkov who wrote (93149)4/5/2008 1:41:11 AM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Respond to of 110194
 
Crap ? I dunno.. The loonie is in a decent range now but..

some things to think about...

40 million Canucks ? nope
under 33 million as of 2007.. unless we bought New York city for a few barrel of syncrude ?
www40.statcan.ca and BTW Ontario and Quebec... just two provinces of 10, both which count heavily upon manufacturing and tourism are over 62% of the total population. Strong dollar .. hmmm.

US has a bigger boomer problem ? nope, looks backwards to me.
The median age in Canada was 38.5 in 2006, an increase from 37.2 just one year earlier... so it's going UP FAST
network.nationalpost.com
US Median age ? 36.4 ... in 2007 and rising MUCH more slowly..
Canadian birth rate ? 1.54 children per woman in 2005.
American birth rate ? 2.07 so WAY more babies... in 2007
U.S. population growth is now the highest among developed countries. en.wikipedia.org

300 years of oil ? Guess it depends on whose crap ya believe :O) en.wikipedia.org
giving Canada about 150 years of reserves at current production rates. OK that is still a lot.
but Canada is projected to increase by over 10 per cent in 2007, and.. As a result of new nonconventional oil projects, total crude oil production is forecast to increase by an average of 8.6 per cent per year from 2008 to 2011. You know at this rate the rule of 72 tells me it won't be long before 150 years becomes 75 years... but we will hopefully be weaned off a lot of oil long before then...

There are also the increasing environmental issues.... like Alberta may just not have enough water..

Our federal surplus is disappearing... we are in dire need of infrastructure replacement and new build.. .. due to the deficit crushing of both parties up here, dumping on lower levels of government.. Our public schools in Toronto just announced that pools are closing... no money ? .. How can that be ? We are rich ... we have oilsands.. hmmm

We have more interest rate room to maneuver with and a slowing economy... a minority government that is now spending.. and an election sooner than later..

Foreign trade is about a third of our GDP (maybe a little less). 80% of that with the US... hope the US doesn't slowdown any time soon.

> 60% of our GDP is generated by the two most populous provinces Ontario and Quebec.. and they do Services and manufacturing mostly also mining but no oil... maybe a few NG rigs in Lake Erie but they might be American, I don't recall..
www40.statcan.ca

Just a few things to remember when betting on the Loonie

The Black Swan