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Strategies & Market Trends : Longer-Term Market Trends -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AllansAlias who wrote (135)4/4/2008 5:25:04 PM
From: Perspective  Respond to of 3209
 
My apologies. I've been hearing plenty of talk of THE bottom being in, and the early-cycle movers (including $TRAN) have frequently been cited as support for the idea that the recession is over. I guess I thought you might by revising your opinions on the likelihood of the "Big C" back down based on your $TRAN posts.

`BC



To: AllansAlias who wrote (135)4/4/2008 5:28:38 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3209
 
If you look at the Japanese experience, there were some serious bounces along the way down. I suspect we're getting close to the recognition flush that happened about ten years into this event:



I think that's actually one of your old charts. <g>

`BC



To: AllansAlias who wrote (135)4/4/2008 7:16:38 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 3209
 
Shouldn't breakouts like this run if they are for real?




I'm suspicious of them since they aren't running. Seems like everybody and his brother would chase these if they were real. Perhaps they just got exhausted when they popped through the 200DSMA on heavy volume?

These a little better:



The sector:


`BC



To: AllansAlias who wrote (135)4/5/2008 1:40:16 AM
From: Stoctrash  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3209
 
Should be a big week ahead to see where we land.
Some sort of melt up or melt down, just my guess.
I doubt we just sit here and bounce around.

UP..140-141 should contain the highs.
Down..133-131 area should be the magnetic area on the lows.






To: AllansAlias who wrote (135)4/6/2008 12:55:07 PM
From: nspolar  Respond to of 3209
 
I see bull possibilities, big ones. Out a bit but not that far out. Note the word possibilities. Sorry will not repost, but there are descriptive charts here.

Message 24472113

Message 24472285

I like the title of your board. EW imo should start back a ways, and work forwards. Hopefully along the way each move adds up and builds the EW house.

Finally, too many bears roaming about for my taste.

TF

Are the bears leading the herd astray? Is that TF up front?