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To: carranza2 who wrote (364819)4/8/2008 10:22:51 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 436258
 
Valuations and credit cycle don't seem to favor
investing in these markets. Russell technically
follows the DOW theory. It has been wrong at times,
and non-confirmations in general is a sign to be careful.
Nasdaq stocks were held 3 days on average in October, so
these markets must be full of investors -ggg-



To: carranza2 who wrote (364819)4/8/2008 12:08:08 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
finance.yahoo.com
Here is the chart of industrials vs transports. While
industrials made a lower low in March, transports didn't.
This is a non-confirmation for the dow theory - time to
be careful, January highs were not exceeded by the DOW
either, so there does not seem to be a DOW theory buy signal.
Although most market bottoms follow Dow theory non-
confirmation, not all non-confirmations result in a market
bottom -g- We have a non-confirmation to the upside as well,
for now. Those just need to resolve themselves, and one
way to resolve those is to the downside. -g-