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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Real Man who wrote (5995)4/8/2008 2:30:15 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71475
 
I did find a bigger money-supply spike than what has recently occurred: it was immediately after the 9/11/01 Trade Center attack. See page 6, where the asterisk indicates the anomaly.

research.stlouisfed.org

So it seems the Fed feels we are in the middle of a similar national crisis.

I think the Fed is overloaded with economic historicists who think in terms of bank runs, bank failures, and panic and are themselves easily panicked.



To: Real Man who wrote (5995)4/8/2008 3:29:39 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71475
 
Sixteen years ago, 1992, the Dollar Index was in the same part of its cycle as it is today. A recession was ending, as was a Bush presidency. The next eight years saw the US Dollar soar and the stock market rise 260%. Whether another Clinton will be president in 2009 is harder to say. With a Fed bent on reflation, the next asset bubble is likely to be in the stock market.

PS It's only a matter of time before the ECB lowers rates.


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