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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (261017)4/8/2008 6:57:25 PM
From: neolib  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
I'm well aware of all that. The two graphs speak for themselves however. In one case people look at the global temp curve and blather about things stopping in 1998. Those same individuals look at the LFPR and think nothing has happened from the 1990's on related to freer trade.

Both graphs, taken in isolation say more or less the opposite. There is absolutely nothing out of the ordinary on the temp graph from 1998 on (i.e. you can find similar segments before) while the character of the LFPR has drastically changed from the early 90's on.

If you don't believe me, reverse those graphs. Let the LFPR data be global temps and let the global temp data be increasing LFPR instead. Then ask yourself if GW stopped in the early 90's and if trade seems to be having any effect on rising LFPR.

When the graph does not fit your theory, you dig for other reasons. When the graph does fit your theory, you don't want to hear about other reasons. That is all I'm trying to get across.

In the case of AGW, scientists have done a reasonable job of attribution. In the case of free trade and employment, I can't find any reasonable attributions. Just hand waving about correlations. Anyone can make a WAG.