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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (33153)4/15/2008 2:26:05 AM
From: Night Trader  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217686
 
Monthly average % gold return over the period:

dec 4.930881974
nov 1.73512494
oct 3.684850822
sept 2.534602455
aug 4.528197688
jul 0.362214759
jun 1.363272075
may -0.770247824
apr -2.51771518
mar 4.350420175
feb -1.275066607
jan 2.435718904

March was only high because of a single value (12%) in the 06 spring boom and bust. Deleting that value would leave March still the highest of the weak period Feb-July but lower than the weakest month in the strong Aug-Jan period. Conclusion: gold selling is best done at end of Dec/Jan and gold buying in May-July.

One tailed P-value for the truncated data (highest month removed from each set) was less than 1%.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (33153)4/15/2008 2:40:52 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217686
 
If Europe follows America into recession, which is quite possible, the pain will be a lot greater in the Mediterranean countries than in Germany and northern Europe. Not surprisingly, the political response from the two regions will also be quite different. Even as it prepares to expand once more to take in Slovakia and later other countries from eastern Europe, the euro is about to show the world that it is not yet an optimal currency area—and the demonstration may not be a pretty one.

economist.com