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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (77737)4/15/2008 5:10:03 PM
From: Jim McMannis  Respond to of 116555
 
RE:"Just imagine the present sub prime problem with 12% interest rates. I am in the real estate field. The impact on the present sub prime debacle is unimaginable. It could easily turn a recession into a depression."

You just answered the question "why aren't rates up"?

Then again if Greenspan had left rates at a reasonable level of 6-8% there would be no housing bubble.



To: koan who wrote (77737)4/15/2008 9:42:38 PM
From: SouthFloridaGuy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
If debtors can't pay debts at a 3.5% risk-free, why and how could the market send it to 12%?

The only way the machine restarts itself again is with lower rates and/or lower risk premiums.

The implication is that rates are too high right now relative to debts.



To: koan who wrote (77737)4/15/2008 11:20:05 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
What peaked my interest is that I do not hear anyone (cnbc pundits, or others) talking about how inflation will push up interest rates.

Perhaps because we are in deflation

Actually we are in deflation but those on CNBC and most here do not know it.

Mish