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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (77875)4/17/2008 4:52:02 PM
From: koan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Elroy:
Are you actually suggesting that people who want a home in Beijing or Dubai will instead buy a home in America?

How else will housing demand in these other locations dribble down to Alaska and inflate prices in "your town"?

We had really bad inflation in the 1970s and home prices tanked.


koan: no, I am not saying that at all. I am saying population growth in general will help the housing market, unlike Japan, and I am saying peopel are going to go to alaska to look for work and that will increase our housing needs.

Alaska did not have a lot of sub prime loans to begin with. MWe mostly just made loans to people who needed a place to live-lol. And we had little vacancy or overbuilding. No lots to overbuild on! So even a small population increase affects us.

1970's had sky high interst rates. Apples and oranges again. We have historically low interst rates right now! With a low dollar. There will be soem foreign invesment in the US given the dollar exchange. Like in New York.



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (77875)4/17/2008 7:01:30 PM
From: 8bits  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
We had really bad inflation in the 1970s and home prices tanked.

No, the 1970s had 6 years of (nominal) double digit increases in median price of housing in the US. The collective gain was almost as high as the past 10 years (until 2006). Real estate was a much better asset class than US bonds or stocks in the 1970s.

census.gov