To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (26503 ) 4/22/2008 7:16:57 PM From: Ann Corrigan Respond to of 224708 EXIT POLLS: Show Few Last-Minute Deciders ANALYSIS By GARY LANGER April 22, 2008 — Despite all the down-to-the-wire campaigning, preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly eight in 10 Pennsylvania voters made up their minds at least a week ago, and six in 10 decided on their candidate more than a month ago -- a higher number of early deciders than the norm in Democratic primaries to date. In other primaries to date, more voters saw Clinton than Obama as having attacked unfairly. The difference in Pennsylvania, these preliminary results suggest, is that voters there are more critical of both candidates. More than half rate the economy as the top issue in the election, similar to what it's been in all Democratic primaries to date. Preliminary results indicate that nearly six in 10 voters are women, which if it holds in final data will be a high for Pennsylvania, though about what it's been in all Democratic primaries this year. Turnout among African-Americans could be lower than it's been overall this year; it'll take updates later tonight to see whether it does or does not exceed the Pennsylvania primary record, 17 percent in 1988 and 1984. On the Pennsylvania Democrats--Just under half of Pennsylvania Democratic voters have a college degree, about the same as in all other primaries so far this year -- and more than Ohio's 38 percent. There are perhaps twice as many white Catholics voting in Pennsylvania as in other primary states to date -- more than three in 10 voters in preliminary exit poll results. Just more two in 10 Pennsylvania Democratic voters are from rural areas, more than usual this year. Just more than a quarter are from urban areas, fewer than the '08 norm. About three in 10 are from union households. Union household voters are well down from their level in the 1980s. Almost half are liberals, up from about a quarter to a third in past Pennsylvania primaries. These early results indicate a higher-than-usual turnout by older voters, but that just might reflect the fact that they tend to vote early.