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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (60893)	4/22/2008 10:12:16 PM
From: Cogito	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 542105

>>That 8% number happens to be the range of maximum uncertainty and inconclusiveness according to all the talking heads.<< Dale - Maximum uncertainty and inconclusiveness seems to have been the whole story for quite a while now. I, for one, am getting tired of that. - Allen

To: Dale Baker who wrote (60893)	4/22/2008 11:08:24 PM
From: Katelew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 542105

I've been watching and looking for two things. One was to see if Rev. Wright had any discernible effect. It suggests that it may have by the fact she took the Catholic vote by 75-25. Also, she's winning 80-20 in the districts Casey was supposed to help Obama in. The other was to get a feel for why people say they would vote for McCain over Obama if she doesn't get the nomination. It may be the Reagan Democrats that supposedly are in the center section of the state. But it's not clear. Hope there's some good analysis done. Unfortunately, the exit polling again indicates more of her voters than his say they won't cross over. The other thing I heard was that he didn't get the expected and needed turnout in the Philly area he hoped for. The vote there was supposedly 60-40 and was assumed to be higher than that.