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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TARADO96 who wrote (18969)	4/23/2008 10:05:44 AM
From: Sr K	Respond to of 149317

online.wsj.com Political prediction markets, including this market predictions.wsj.com run by The Wall Street Journal, provide a useful way of figuring out how the electoral math has changed. The answer: It hasn't. The Pennsylvania primary is best called a draw.

To: TARADO96 who wrote (18969)	4/23/2008 10:06:38 AM
From: TARADO96	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 149317

She can't catch up (none / 0) [crosspost - borrowed the diary ] Clinton +5% www.dailykos.com Tue Apr 22, 2008 at 11:28:05 PM PDT Before today, Hillary Clinton required 66% of the remaining elected delegates in order to win an overall majority of non-superdelegates in the race. A tall order indeed. After tonight, Hillary Clinton needs... 71%. That's right. 71% If Clinton gained anything tonight, it's that she now needs 5% more of the remaining delegates than she did yesterday. She needs 71% of the delegates in Guam. In Indiana. In North Carolina. In Kentucky and Oregon. In Puerto Rico. In Montana and South Dakota. She needs 71% of the remaining delegates in these states and protectorates in order to avoid having the superdelegates overturn the will of the people. She needs 71% of the delegates to not have to rely on a bizarre scheme of combining the electoral vote with the number of states she won on a Friday, and multiplying it with the number of states won by Ronald Reagan to the power of 8. She needs 71% of the remaining delegates to actually win the small-d democratic part of this contest. 71%. Keep repeating that. 71%. No, she can't. mydd.com