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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lane3 who wrote (60953)	4/23/2008 10:19:36 AM
From: Lane3	Respond to of 542154

Why aren't the superdelegates committing? 22 Apr 2008 10:53 pm As Matt points out, they undoubtedly already know which way they're going to go, so why are they subjecting us all to this painful ordeal? Working theories: 1) They are afraid of retaliation by a vengeful Senator Clinton 2) They are afraid that she will somehow get the nomination, and retaliate from the Oval Office 3) They need the Clintons to fundraise for the general 4) No one wants to be the guy who put the last nail in the Clinton campaign's coffin. Collective action problems: not just for economists any more. My question is if the media really is an all-powerful force shaping the debate, why can't we band together and tell everyone that the race is over, thus making it true? Where's the vast media conspiracy when you need it? meganmcardle.theatlantic.com

To: Lane3 who wrote (60953)	4/23/2008 10:29:25 AM
From: Katelew	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 542154

First and foremost, I believe Hillary can win FLA over Obama. It might be a squeaker but I believe she would pull it out. But she can't become the nominee without either counting the vote in FLA or having a revote.....a revote I believe she'd win by the same margins. So all assumptions here. Her strength in FLA I reference is based on internal polling done by her campaign. This is why the Obama campaign blocked a revote there. He knows he's weaker in FLA. His lawyers blocked a revote in MI, too. So I assume polling there shows weakness also. Also, with a revote, both candidates are down there in FLA campaigning full force and getting the population more used to them before the general in Nov.