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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (33757)4/23/2008 10:38:16 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219734
 
top form :0)
twisting the twig that delves deeply can be fun ;0)
the good thing is that zim is now hooked to the thread, the best thing is he cannot let go now, for he is committed.
let us harness the energy.
and count our blessings.



To: carranza2 who wrote (33757)4/24/2008 4:31:21 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219734
 
hello c2, just in in-tray, it is what it is:

quote

Not that this is big news, but here is inventory of positions and personal views:

I have been increasing my short US long bonds via RYJUX US EQUITY from the US$16 levels as part of long term positioning for higher cost of US long term money. Some debate on the upside short-term though. Some say 10-yr bond can only rebound to 4% short term. I will continue to increase my position slowly here. Chart below.

I am also increasing long US dollar but holding Sing and HK dollars in size as well. Am keeping RMB small position.

I have continued to trade short term, with a bias to accumulating on corrections.

I bot a double position of China Moly 3993 HK on Monday and decreased my position after +10% but am holding the rest for now.

I bot Toyota on its lows 3 weeks ago and will put it away for long term.

I bot HSBC 8.12% bond which now yields about 7.8%

I bot GE on its correction last week for long term.

I am reducing Noble long term position, unless it corrects and level looks attractive relative to opportunities again

2008 Portfolio main moves (approx +3% YTD)

Biggest unrealized losses: GAS NO (small position only); AYR (small position only); CKN LN (rebounding back to cost); UYG

Biggest gains realized and unrealized: 3993 HK (sold half); 1199 HK (sold); NOBL SP (reducing after +35% on core); HSBC Bond; Sing dollar; 293 HK (sold); Honda (sold); CHF (sold); Yen (sold); 2343 HK (sold)

Small gain to flat: RMT; cash (50-60% of overall)

Core Holds now:

- Macro: DUG short oil (lost my gains so far and down a little); RYJUX (slow move up); Sing dollar; HKD; US dollar; RMB

- Trade/commodities: Toyota; China Moly; PYI; 39 HK; YZJ; OOIL; RMT ; CKN; PLS; GAS;

- Diversified: HSBC 8.12% bond; Citi (forced holder small position, having sold most in 2006-1H07); GE; UYG (slow rebound)

unquote