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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ChinuSFO who wrote (61422)4/24/2008 11:19:44 AM
From: Dale Baker  Respond to of 542907
 
April 12 polling in NC. This is how Obama could expand the electoral map:

Election 2008: North Carolina Presidential Election
North Carolina: McCain 47% Obama 47%
Saturday, April 12, 2008

Barack Obama has caught up with John McCain in the Tar Heel State. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that both Obama and McCain attract 47% of the North Carolina vote in an early look at the race. Three percent (3%) say they would prefer a third-party option and 3% are undecided.

A month ago, McCain led Obama by nine percentage points. The current survey was completed before Obama’s remarks about small-town voters made headlines.

McCain leads Hillary Clinton 51% to 40%. In that match-up, 6% say they would vote for a third party option while 3% are undecided. McCain held a sixteen point advantage over Clinton in March.



To: ChinuSFO who wrote (61422)4/24/2008 11:32:36 AM
From: JohnM  Respond to of 542907
 
The evangelicals will not be motivated to come to the polls in such large numbers as in 2000 and 2004.

It makes sense to think of the "evangelicals" as an assemblage of voting preferences, not as a simple block. There are the stereotypical Falwell sorts. But there's a very strong global warming contingency among them now. And there has always been a strong African American evangelical component that is left out of those stereotypes. No doubt there are others.