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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (33825)4/24/2008 4:08:27 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217800
 
Good point Haim. <May it is worth exploring Sun Spots and Equity market corelation > Humans are highly temperature sensitive and so is the rest of the ecological and geophysical cycle. Without the sun, even the volcanoes would fizzle out. They are propelled by burning organic matter from the engine room of the subduction zones.

People have long used astrological soothsaying to predict the future. Staring them in the face was the sun! A star umpty light years away, being nothing but a spot in the sky, is obviously not going to have the effect that Sol will on our souls.

Even ganged up by the peta trillion, all the galaxies and stars in the cosmos produce nothing but dim darkness on Earth at night when the mere reflection of the sun and diffusion of light is far brighter than all the rest combined.

A few sunspots and bingo, we start warming up and getting active like lizards and snakes when the sun comes out and start zipping around again, doing good works.

Seasonal Affective Disorder is sad, but true. We can't wish ourselves into a happy state when the situation is dire. Photos of concentration camps do not show happy smiling faces who are ignoring the situation in favour of pleasant thoughts.

The downturn in sunspots is bound to send people into a funk. When followed by an ice age, or even a little ice age, or simply inclement weather, people go into their cabins, pull the door shut, uncork the vodka and wait for better times or the end, whichever comes first.

On the other hand, people in temperate to cold zones are the most economically productive while those in the tropics go troppo, singing "Don't worry, be happy" and sing along to Bob Marley, "Don't worry, about a thing, coz every little things, going to be all right." youtube.com

So with the sun spot cycle in a trough, humans will get moving and the markets will zip, zim and zoom. And hey presto, there they go. It took only the mention of it and they are away. The Aztec no-brainer gold buyers are clutching their little talisman, waiting to be saved, sitting on top of their end of the world mountain while in the villages and towns below, regular people are bustling and buying.

The sun spot cycle looks to be headed into a serious slump so we should expect lots of chilly weather if not outright metre deep ice and lots of economic activity. Oil is too expensive, so people will do what they have done for eons - wear polar bear fur to keep warm. Heating huge spaces to keep 70kg of human warm is silly. Walking and pedaling keeps one warm too. Biking around Beijing in late December is better than sitting stuck in a huge traffic jam burning lots of fuel to keep warm, while going nowhere.

Haim's Theorem! Excellent.

But what about at boundary conditions, such as reaching a tipping point and plunging into actual ice age with kilometres of ice over Europe/Asia/North America? That can't be good for economic activity? It would lead to lots of economic activity, but different companies would do well. Those involved in moving a couple of billion people southwards would do well.

Housing in the Sahara and Australia would be great businesses. As would mobile cyberspace services in those areas. I wonder what spectrum in the Sahara and outback Australia costs right now. Cheaper than gold I guess.

Mqurice