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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: c.hinton who wrote (263044)4/29/2008 4:18:11 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
The fed conclusion seem to be that many peoples financial security in retirement is
in doubt and as if house values decline those numbers will increase...


I think we are getting further and further from the issue I was talking about.

I was narrowly addressing

"The longer a mortgage is held, the greater the difference between the household’s mortgage payment and the payment for a mortgage re-financed in the current period."

My point is that this is only true if nominal interest rates have gone up. Yes in a larger sense real interest rates are more important, but a fixed rate mortgage has a specific nominal rate, so would a replacement/refinanced fixed rate mortgage. The adjustment to both of those nominal rates, to make them in to real rates is inflation, and inflation is the same whether or not you refinance.

If nominal rates have not gone up, and if you don't roll in a lot of additional debt, and if you don't get a new mortgage with a term that is shorter than the term remaining on your current mortgage, than that sentence, by the fed, isn't true.